Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 17
- Referee: Wulkan J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (450/529) | 70% (217/308) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 2.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (450/529) | 70% (217/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (16/43) | 48% (31/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (112/161) | 65% (55/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (3/28) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.39 | 2.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Cerv L. 🟨,
- 25', Zika J. 🟨,
- 26', Jemelka V. 🟨,
- 26', Langhamer D. 🟨,
- 45', Valenta M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Langhamer D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Cerv L. ↓, Memic A. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 0, Adu P. ⚽,
- 60', Lehky F. ↓, John S. ↑,
- 71', Kostka D. ↓, Penner N. ↑,
- 71', Zika J. ↓, Sevcik M. ↑,
- 72', Visinsky D. ↓, Vydra M. ↑,
- 72', Adu P. ↓, Durosinmi R. ↑,
- 79', Havel M. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 0, Durosinmi R. ⚽, Vydra M. (A),
- 85', Valenta M. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Vojta M. ⚽, Sevcik M. (A),
- 88', Vojta M. ↓, Krulich M. ↑,
- 88', Donat D. ↓, Klima J. ↑,
- 90+6', Ladra T. ↓, Markovic S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Viktoria Plzeň
70.7% | Draw
17.3% | Mladá Boleslav
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Viktoria Plzeň, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Viktoria Plzeň - Mladá Boleslav Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.33) |
5.49 ↑
(5.42) |
7.73 ↑
(7.46) |
7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Viktoria Plzeň - Mladá Boleslav?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plzeň: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Viktoria Plzeň will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 14 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plzeň won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Plzeň may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Plzeň is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Plzeň: Kopic J.
(Knee Injury)
Paluska J.
(Surgery)
Panos J.
(Convalescence)
Spacil K.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Haliti J.
(Health problems)
Kozel D.
(Injury)
Pech Da.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Plzeň won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:19. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plzeň won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:11. (average 2.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Viktoria Plzeň won against Mladá Boleslav?
Viktoria Plzeň has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mladá Boleslav won against Viktoria Plzeň?
Mladá Boleslav has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Viktoria Plzeň - Mladá Boleslav were as follows:
19.08.2025
Mladá Boleslav
-
Viktoria Plzeň
0:5
02.03.2025
Mladá Boleslav
-
Viktoria Plzeň
0:2
29.09.2024
Viktoria Plzeň
-
Mladá Boleslav
1:1
05.05.2024
Viktoria Plzeň
-
Mladá Boleslav
3:0
10.02.2024
Viktoria Plzeň
-
Mladá Boleslav
1:1
Latest results of Viktoria Plzeň
Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 27 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 67 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 56:30 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Plzen ✔ | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 35:27 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Liberec | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | Hradec Kralove | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:44 | -11 | 32 |
| 10 | Zlin | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 40:51 | -11 | 30 |
| 12 | Teplice | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Bohemians | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20:34 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23:38 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 24:38 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 16:38 | -22 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
