Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
14/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Jeffinho ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 69', 1 - 1, Vitor Barreto ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Thiago M. ,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Moreira K. ,
  • 89', 3 - 2, Ze Vitor (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
56%
Draw
26.7%
Sertãozinho
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 27.6% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 26.6% 16.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Sertãozinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Ferroviária - Sertãozinho Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.63)
    3.43
    (3.27)
    5.27
    (5.31)
    9.3%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ferroviária is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    11.02.2026 Água Santa - Ferroviária 1:0
    07.02.2026 Ferroviária - Piracicaba 0:1
    01.02.2026 Ferroviária - São Bento 2:0
    24.01.2026 Taubaté - Ferroviária 1:2
    Latest results of Sertãozinho
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Agua Santa ✔ 1491422:13928
    2Ferroviaria ✔ 1483321:111027
    3Sao Jose EC ✔ 1483320:11927
    4Ituano ✔ 1483319:11827
    5Votuporanguense ✔ 1473415:12324
    6Osasco Sporting1457221:16522
    7Juventus-SP1455420:19120
    8Sertaozinho1354415:18-319
    9Piracicaba1454511:14-319
    10Inter de Limeira1444614:16-216
    11Taubate1437421:22-116
    12Santo Andre1443712:20-815
    13Linense1426611:17-612
    14Monte Azul1325614:17-311
    15Gremio Prudente1418511:15-411
    16Sao Bento ✔ 1412116:21-155

          Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Paulista A3

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Agua Santa is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Ferroviaria is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Sao Jose EC is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Ituano is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Votuporanguense is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Sao Bento is Relegated to Paulista A3