São José-SP vs Sertãozinho – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
15/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A2 - Second stage - Round 6

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Clessione ,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Clessione ,
  • 43', Fabio 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 47', 3 - 0, Lucas Reis ,
  • 88', 4 - 0, Gabriel Ramos ,
  • 90+6', 5 - 0, Lucas Reis ,

Chances of winning


São José-SP
59.4%
Draw
25.6%
Sertãozinho
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 23.6% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 16.2% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for São José-SP have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Sertãozinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São José-SP than the current prediction. (-18.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São José-SP that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sertãozinho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • São José-SP - Sertãozinho Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.54)
    3.55
    (3.88)
    6.03
    (5.37)
    10.1%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, São José-SP has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sertãozinho's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, São José-SP is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São José-SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, São José-SP won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São José-SP - Sertãozinho were as follows:
    14.03.2026 Sertãozinho - São José-SP 1:2
    07.03.2026 São José-SP - Sertãozinho 1:2
    Latest results of São José-SP
    Latest results of Sertãozinho
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Votuporanguense (1)Juventus-SP (2)0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2Ferroviaria (1)Ituano (2)1 : 1, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Juventus-SP (2)Ferroviaria (1)