Zamudio vs Aurrerá de Vitoria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
15/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 22

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Ortega E. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 72', 1 - 0, ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, ,
  • 85', 3 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Zamudio
44.7%
Draw
28.6%
Aurrerá de Vitoria
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 27.6% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 28.5% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zamudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Aurrerá de Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamudio than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Zamudio - Aurrerá de Vitoria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2)
    3.2
    (3.27)
    3.43
    (3.32)
    9.5%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6).
    • In recent matches, Zamudio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Aurrerá de Vitoria is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Zamudio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Zamudio might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zamudio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Zamudio
    07.02.2026 Leioa - Zamudio 2:1
    01.02.2026 Zamudio - Eibar C 1:0
    24.01.2026 Añorga - Zamudio 4:1
    18.01.2026 Zamudio - Durango 2:0
    11.01.2026 Zamudio - Aretxabaleta 2:0
    Latest results of Aurrerá de Vitoria
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete24193252:173560
    2Leioa24143735:231245
    3Lagun Onak24132936:221441
    4Touring KE24118531:201141
    5Aurrera de Vitoria24124831:30140
    6San Ignacio24115824:18638
    7Derio24114937:29837
    8Alaves C24106838:271136
    9UD Aretxabaleta24105941:40135
    10Durango2489724:21333
    11Real Sociedad C241031126:28-233
    12Santurtzi2469924:32-827
    13Eibar C24751228:38-1026
    14Zamudio24741327:39-1225
    15Pasaia24661216:30-1424
    16Anorga24731423:43-2024
    17Zarautz KE24631520:43-2321
    18SD Deusto24461417:30-1318

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation