Zamudio vs Aretxabaleta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
11/01/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Garai O. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Rojas U. ,

Chances of winning


Zamudio
36.1%
Draw
31.5%
Aretxabaleta
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 32.1% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 31% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zamudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Aretxabaleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamudio than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Zamudio - Aretxabaleta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.52)
    2.87
    (2.81)
    2.79
    (2.82)
    10.5%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • Zamudio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Aretxabaleta is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Zamudio
    04.01.2026 Zarautz KE - Zamudio 2:0
    20.12.2025 Santurtzi - Zamudio 2:0
    14.12.2025 Zamudio - Real Sociedad C 1:1
    06.12.2025 Pasaia - Zamudio 1:1
    23.11.2025 Zamudio - Lagun Onak 1:0
    Latest results of Aretxabaleta
    04.01.2026 Aretxabaleta - Santurtzi 1:2
    14.12.2025 Aretxabaleta - Pasaia 1:0
    06.12.2025 Lagun Onak - Aretxabaleta 2:0
    23.11.2025 Aretxabaleta - Deusto 0:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete30225362:233971
    2Touring KE30168642:271556
    3Leioa30166842:281454
    4Lagun Onak301641048:282052
    5San Ignacio30147933:231049
    6Derio301461047:361148
    7Alaves C30138951:341747
    8Aurrera de Vitoria301451137:37047
    9Real Sociedad C301341334:35-143
    10UD Aretxabaleta301261248:50-242
    11Durango309101130:31-137
    12Anorga301031733:52-1933
    13Zamudio30951639:50-1132
    14Santurtzi307111227:39-1232
    15Pasaia30881423:40-1732
    16Eibar C30781533:48-1529
    17Zarautz KE30751826:56-3026
    18SD Deusto30571821:39-1822

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