Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Andrey 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Ventura ⚽, Saint-Louis J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Andrey ↓, Goncalves V. ↑,
- 46', Iheanacho S. ↓, Fati E. ↑,
- 52', Fati E. 🟨,
- 55', Ferreira J. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
- 64', Rodrigues D. ↓, Zangre A. ↑,
- 72', Raposo C. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
- 76', Arome ↓, Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ↑,
- 79', Sambu B. ↓, Pinto R. ↑,
- 85', Saint-Louis J. ↓, Meireles A. ↑,
- 86', Almeida F. ↓, Conceicao M. ↑,
- 86', 🟨,
- 90+2', Meireles A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amarante
31% | Draw
30% | Mafra
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Amarante - Mafra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↓
(3.18) |
3.04 ↓
(3.12) |
2.34 ↑
(2.16) |
9.6%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Amarante have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mafra is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mafra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Amarante won against Mafra?
Amarante has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Amarante?
Mafra has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amarante - Mafra were as follows:
Latest results of Amarante
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Academica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Amarante | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Santarem | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Mafra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
