Result
0:2
03/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Turkish Cup - Round 4
- Referee: Olcar B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | A Spor |
 Turkey | A Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, Kalayci B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Satir B. ↓, Cevik R. ↑,
- 46', Eralp S. ↓, Akgun I. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 2, Kone ⚽,
- 49', Akgun I. 🟨,
- 56', Kosar A. ↓, Okutan M. ↑,
- 69', Ahmed T. ↓, Kalpakli T. ↑,
- 74', Ersoy B. ↓, Odabas O. ↑,
- 78', Kazan C. 🟨,
- 79', Ozcan N. ↓, Yildiz S. ↑,
- 83', Kazan C. ↓, Demir H. ↑,
- 90+1', Kone ↓, Ozmen K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fethiyespor
27.6% | Draw
26.1% | Fatih Karagümrükspor
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fethiyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fethiyespor than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Fethiyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↓
(3.6) |
3.56 ↓
(3.81) |
1.95 ↑
(1.83) |
7.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fethiyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Fethiyespor will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karagümrük: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Fethiyespor (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Karagümrük (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fethiyespor (votes: 1 - 50%). Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fethiyespor won 3.
- Recent performances by Fethiyespor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Karagümrük is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fethiyespor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Karagümrük is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fethiyespor won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fethiyespor won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fethiyespor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Fethiyespor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Fethiyespor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fethiyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
Latest results of Fethiyespor
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Galatasaray | Genclerbirligi | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Samsunspor | Trabzonspor | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Besiktas | Alanyaspor | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Konyaspor | Fenerbahce | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Genclerbirligi | Trabzonspor | |
| 2 | Besiktas | Konyaspor | |
Final
