Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Samsunspor
31.5%
Draw
28.4%
Rayo Vallecano
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 27.8% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 28.7% 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Samsunspor - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.86)
    3.29
    (3.42)
    2.35
    (2.44)
    6.1%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2