Result
0:0
01/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 24
- Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (404/489) | 75% (248/331) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (404/489) | 75% (248/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (23/50) | 31% (17/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (87/132) | 62% (33/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Assoumou J. ↓, Holse C. ↑,
- 37', Kayan Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Abena M. ↓, Sorescu D. ↑,
- 57', Camara D. ↓, Gidado V. ↑,
- 58', Sangare N. 🟨,
- 67', Ozcicek O. ↓, Maxim A. ↑,
- 72', Lungoyi C. 🟨,
- 76', Tomasson L. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
- 76', Marius ↓, Ndiaye C. ↑,
- 76', Kayan Y. ↓, Makoumbou A. ↑,
- 77', Kozlowski K. 🟨,
- 80', Kozlowski K. ↓, Gassama K. ↑,
- 80', Bayo M. ↓, Kabadayi Y. ↑,
- 89', Yuksel C. ↓, Diabbate A. B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Samsunspor
50.4% | Draw
27.1% | Gaziantep
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samsunspor's form might have worsened.Gaziantep has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samsunspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Samsunspor - Gaziantep Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.69) |
3.48 ↓
(3.92) |
4.23 ↓
(4.7) |
5.8%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Gaziantep?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Gaziantep will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 48.9% – 92.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Samsunspor is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Bulbul T.
(Injury)
Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly T.
(Knee Injury)
Kilinc E.
(Inactive)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Gaziantep: Ablak A.
(Knee Injury)
M'Bakata S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Gaziantep: Ndiaye B.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Gaziantep?
Samsunspor has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gaziantep won against Samsunspor?
Gaziantep has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Gaziantep were as follows:
27.09.2025
Gaziantep
-
Samsunspor
2:2
24.01.2025
Samsunspor
-
Gaziantep
2:1
18.08.2024
Gaziantep
-
Samsunspor
0:1
18.02.2024
Gaziantep
-
Samsunspor
1:1
29.09.2023
Samsunspor
-
Gaziantep
1:2
Latest results of Samsunspor
Latest results of Gaziantep
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 32 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 24:58 | -34 | 27 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28:53 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
