Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Belgrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
12/03/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.641.37
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
21
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
82
Passes
70% (260/371)71% (242/343)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.641.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.061.00
Total shots
178
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
104
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
93
Shots outside the box
85
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2217
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
104
Passes
70% (260/371)71% (242/343)
Long passes
43% (36/83)39% (28/72)
Passes in final third
60% (87/145)54% (57/106)
Crosses
29% (12/41)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.44
Throw ins
3427
Fouls
410
Tackles
81% (17/21)72% (18/25)
Duels won
6353
Clearances
2335
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
1.000.06
Goals prevented
0.000.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
  • 40', Sporle A. , Mavilla J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Hernandes R. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Gonzalez F. ,
  • 62', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 65', Cabrera A. , Ferreira J. ,
  • 65', Garnerone M. , Alanis G. ,
  • 73', Cobos F. , Ostchega T. ,
  • 73', Romero F. , Rosane S. ,
  • 78', Velazquez J. , Zelarayan G. ,
  • 79', Benitez Cabrera A. J. , Falcon A. ,
  • 79', Vazquez F. , Gutierrez L. ,
  • 81', Valiente M. , Abila R. ,
  • 90+5', Rosane S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
27.7%
Draw
33.2%
Belgrano
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.2% 30.1% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 29.9% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Belgrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.41
    (3.68)
    2.86
    (3.08)
    2.43
    (2.08)
    5.6%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Belgrano?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Belgrano: 35%88%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • E Río Cuarto is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Belgrano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • E Río Cuarto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Belgrano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in E Río Cuarto: Fenoglio V. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez L. (Inactive) Ruiz M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Reyna B. (Inactive) Ricca F. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in E Río Cuarto: Bajamich M. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, E Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, E Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    Latest results of Belgrano
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1475215:9626
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1454521:17419
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    4Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1475215:10526
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1456316:11521
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)