Result
1:0
03/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Loustau J. C. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (252/346) | 67% (205/305) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (252/346) | 67% (205/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (27/73) | 40% (23/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (71/119) | 57% (52/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 60% (15/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Marabel J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 29', Arturia G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ostchega T. ↓, Cobos F. ↑,
- 46', Talpone N. ↓, Rosane S. ↑,
- 46', Garnerone M. ↓, Abila R. ↑,
- 46', Arturia G. ↓, Seyral A. ↑,
- 48', Valenti M. 🟨,
- 59', Gomez J. ↓, Salle S. ↑,
- 65', Marabel J. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
- 65', Diaz G. ↓, Arismendi Y. ↑,
- 69', Antonini J. ↓, Lozano R. ↑,
- 69', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
- 75', Salle S. 🟨,
- 77', Romero F. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
- 85', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
- 90+3', Zabala C. ↓, Villalba C. ↑,
- 90+3', Contrera J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sarmiento de Junín
49.2% | Draw
31% | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarmiento de Junín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estudiantes de Río Cuarto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.01) |
3.05 ↑
(2.9) |
4.79 ↑
(4.25) |
5.4%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarmiento: 32% – 80.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Sarmiento (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 14).
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Sarmiento is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez G.
(Knee Injury)
Magnin P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in E Río Cuarto: Fenoglio V.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez L.
(Inactive)
Ruiz M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sarmiento: Suarez L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in E Río Cuarto: Bajamich M.
(Injury)
Valiente M.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against Estudiantes de Río Cuarto?
Sarmiento de Junín has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes de Río Cuarto won against Sarmiento de Junín?
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto were as follows:
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Latest results of Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Lanus ✔ | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 7 | Independiente | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 10 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 4 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:18 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
