Pärnu Vaprus vs Tartu Welco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Estonian Cup - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Kulljastinen K. (Est)

Match Stats

Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
83
Corner kicks
81
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
166
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
83
Corner kicks
81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Veensalu E. , Petmanson J. ,
  • 27', Timothy L. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Aloe K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Poder J. , Limberg M. ,
  • 57', 2 - 0, Lepik M. ,
  • 60', Timothy L. , Kala R. ,
  • 60', Roots R. , Kiivit A. ,
  • 61', Aloe K. 🟨,
  • 65', Sild J. 🟨,
  • 69', Raudmae J. 🟨,
  • 73', Viidas S. , Vallik V. ,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Petmanson J. ,
  • 82', Sossi M. 🟨,
  • 84', Viira S. , Zovo M. ,
  • 88', Mottus E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pärnu Vaprus
64.5%
Draw
19%
Tartu Welco
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.3% 16.4% 11.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pärnu Vaprus's form might have worsened.
  • Tartu Welco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tartu Welco's recent form is better than expected.
  • Pärnu Vaprus - Tartu Welco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.25)
    4.78
    (5.5)
    5.51
    (8)
    10%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Pärnu Vaprus - Tartu Welco?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Tartu Welco will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus (votes: 1 - 50%). Tartu Welco (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Pärnu Vaprus has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Pärnu Vaprus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Pärnu Vaprus has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Pärnu Vaprus is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).
    Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
    Latest results of Tartu Welco
    25.02.2026 Narva Trans - Tartu Welco 2:2
    14.01.2026 Paide LM - Tartu Welco 5:1
    09.11.2025 Flora U21 - Tartu Welco 1:1
    03.11.2025 Tammeka U21 - Tartu Welco 2:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1FloraBye
    3KohvileBye
    4ByeHelm
    5LevadiaBye
    7Flora U18Bye
    8ByeFlora U21
    9Tabasalu UlasabatBye
    10ByeEston Villa
    11Harju JK LaagriBye
    12ByeTransferWise
    13Tallinna WolvesSoccernet6 : 4
    14ByeRaasiku Joker
    15Nomme UtdBye
    16ByeHarju JK Laagri III
    17Saue LaagriBye
    18ByeMaksatransport
    19Tartu Welco 2Bye
    20ByeNarva
    21Lootus JK JarveBye
    22JK ArsenalRae Spordikool2 : 4
    23FC TallinnBye
    24ByeZealot Sporting
    25Johvi PhoenixBye
    26ByeKose II
    28ByeKalju
    29Viimsi JKBye
    30ByeTalTech
    31TamperBye
    32ByeRumori Calcio
    33KoseBye
    34ByeKuressaare
    36ByePaide
    37Flora U19Bye
    38ByeVastseliina Tannem
    39TammekaBye
    40ByeTabasalu
    41Tartu KalevElva1 : 2
    42ByeLegion
    43Viimsi LovidBye
    44ByeTallinna Smsraha
    45Tallinna Kalev IIIBye
    46ByeEstHam United
    47HiiumaaBye
    48ByeTallinna Kalev
    49Tallinna FC ZapoosBye
    50Hell HuntLootos2 : 0
    51RaplamaaSaku Sporting1 : 5
    52Marjamaa KompaniiKubik4 : 0
    53Parnu JK VaprusBye
    54Olympic TallinnTulevik0 : 6
    55Jarva-JaaniBye
    56Keila JKKallaste United5 : 2
    57Maardu AliensBye
    58ByeJK Poseidon
    59Tallinna Kalev U21Vana Hea Puur6 : 0
    60HaapsaluKohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond2 : 1
    61Tartu WelcoKuusalu Kalev16 : 0
    62ByeTartu Helios
    63Arukula VigriBye
    64ByeKristiine

    1/32-finals
    1FloraBye
    2KohvileHelm0 : 4
    3LevadiaBye
    4Flora U18Flora U211 : 12
    5Tabasalu UlasabatEston Villa13 : 0
    6Harju JK LaagriTransferWise26 : 0
    7Tallinna WolvesRaasiku Joker3 : 4
    8Nomme UtdHarju JK Laagri III5 : 1
    9Saue LaagriMaksatransport6 : 1
    10Tartu Welco 2Narva0 : 8
    11Lootus JK JarveRae Spordikool1 : 10
    12FC TallinnZealot Sporting7 : 1
    13Johvi Phoenix (WO.)Kose II
    14ByeKalju
    15Viimsi JKTalTech7 : 1
    16TamperRumori Calcio4 : 2
    17KoseKuressaare0 : 7
    18ByePaide
    19Flora U19 (WO.)Vastseliina Tannem
    20TammekaTabasalu6 : 0
    21ElvaLegion3 : 0
    22Viimsi LovidTallinna Smsraha0 : 7
    23Tallinna Kalev IIIEstHam United9 : 0
    24HiiumaaTallinna Kalev0 : 3
    25Tallinna FC ZapoosHell Hunt7 : 0
    26Saku SportingMarjamaa Kompanii3 : 2
    27Parnu JK VaprusTulevik13 : 0
    28Jarva-JaaniKeila JK1 : 4
    29Maardu AliensJK Poseidon1 : 4
    30Tallinna Kalev U21Haapsalu2 : 0
    31Tartu WelcoTartu Helios3 : 0
    32Arukula VigriKristiine0 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1FloraHelm14 : 0
    2LevadiaFlora U214 : 0
    3Tabasalu UlasabatHarju JK Laagri0 : 3
    4Raasiku JokerNomme Utd1 : 4
    5Saue LaagriNarva0 : 4
    6Rae SpordikoolFC Tallinn0 : 9
    7Johvi PhoenixKalju1 : 6
    8Viimsi JKTamper4 : 1
    9KuressaarePaide1 : 2
    10Flora U19Tammeka1 : 8
    11ElvaTallinna Smsraha3 : 2
    12Tallinna Kalev IIITallinna Kalev1 : 8
    13Tallinna FC ZapoosSaku Sporting3 : 0
    14Parnu JK VaprusKeila JK9 : 0
    15JK PoseidonTallinna Kalev U211 : 0
    16Tartu WelcoKristiine8 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1FloraLevadia3 : 1
    2Harju JK LaagriNomme Utd0 : 1
    3NarvaFC Tallinn6 : 0
    4KaljuViimsi JK0 : 1
    5PaideTammeka3 : 0
    6ElvaTallinna Kalev1 : 2
    7Tallinna FC ZapoosParnu JK Vaprus2 : 4
    8JK PoseidonTartu Welco0 : 6

    Quarter-finals
    1FloraNomme Utd3 : 1
    2NarvaViimsi JK4 : 3
    3PaideTallinna Kalev6 : 0
    4Parnu JK VaprusTartu Welco2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FloraNarva
    2PaideParnu JK Vaprus

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2