Result
2:2
28/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 10
- Referee: Shukrullayev A. (Uzb)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', Gaybullaev G. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Alizhonov K. ⚽,
- 45+2', Xushvaqtov Q. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Berdirahmonov Y. ↓, Otubanjo Y. ↑,
- 46', Rakhmatov M. ↓, Otubanjo Y. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Bakhromov S. ⚽,
- 60', Buriev A. ↓, Ibrokhimov I. ↑,
- 60', Resan B. ↓, Erkinov K. ↑,
- 67', Khamdamov D. ↓, Bozorov O. ↑,
- 67', Nasrullaev S. ↓, Saitov D. ↑,
- 78', Tahseen Z. ↓, Khamraliev M. ↑,
- 80', Mukhitdinov S. ↓, Murtazoyev D. ↑,
- 90', Xushvaqtov Q. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Flamarion (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Abdikholikov B. ⚽,
- 90+4', Abdikholikov B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pakhtakor
55.6% | Draw
25.5% | Nasaf Qarshi
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Nasaf Qarshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pakhtakor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Pakhtakor - Nasaf Qarshi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.62) |
3.62 ↑
(3.4) |
4.9 ↑
(4.8) |
8.2%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pakhtakor - Nasaf Qarshi?
Users Predictions:
Pakhtakor will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 1.
- Pakhtakor has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Nasaf has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Pakhtakor is the team to beat.
- We predict that Pakhtakor will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pakhtakor won against Nasaf Qarshi?
Pakhtakor has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nasaf Qarshi won against Pakhtakor?
Nasaf Qarshi has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pakhtakor - Nasaf Qarshi were as follows:
20.11.2025
Pakhtakor
-
Nasaf Qarshi
1:0
27.06.2025
Nasaf Qarshi
-
Pakhtakor
2:2
10.08.2024
Nasaf Qarshi
-
Pakhtakor
1:0
29.05.2024
Pakhtakor
-
Nasaf Qarshi
1:2
08.03.2024
Pakhtakor
-
Nasaf Qarshi
0:0
Latest results of Pakhtakor
Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbek League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:3 | 22 | 27 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Navbahor Namangan | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | OKMK | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Lok. Tashkent | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Andijan | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Xorazm Urganch | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Din. Samarkand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Termez Surkhon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | Sogdiana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19:25 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4:21 | -17 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
