Result
07/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Moreirense
39.9% | Draw
29.1% | Nacional
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Moreirense - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.32) |
3.24 ↓
(3.25) |
3.04 ↓
(3.1) |
6.1%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 2.
- Moreirense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nacional is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:17. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Nacional?
Moreirense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Moreirense?
Nacional has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Nacional were as follows:
04.10.2025
Nacional
-
Moreirense
3:2
27.04.2025
Moreirense
-
Nacional
1:1
14.12.2024
Nacional
-
Moreirense
1:0
18.03.2023
Nacional
-
Moreirense
0:2
09.10.2022
Moreirense
-
Nacional
3:1
Latest results of Moreirense
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
