Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 23
- Referee: Riquelme M. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (136/220) | 80% (388/482) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (136/220) | 80% (388/482) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/57) | 45% (25/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (38/79) | 71% (104/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Diaz S. 🟨,
- 38', Diaz S. ↓, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↑,
- 45', Zanini A. 🟨,
- 45+10', Retamal D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Diaz A. ↓, Altamirano J. ↑,
- 46', Retamal D. ↓, Assadi L. ↑,
- 55', Contreras R. ↓, Di Yorio L. ↑,
- 63', Fernandez N. ↓, Hormazabal F. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 0, Vargas J. ⚽, Moreira E. (A),
- 71', Hormazabal F. 🟨,
- 71', Tapia I. ↓, Zaldivia M. ↑,
- 72', Hormazabal F. 🟨,
- 74', Rodriguez S. ↓, Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↑,
- 79', Gallegos S. 🟨,
- 85', Moreira E. ↓, Henriquez A. ↑,
- 85', Gallegos S. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 85', Fuentes J. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Di Yorio L. ⚽, Assadi L. (A),
- 90+1', Henriquez A. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportes La Serena
31.8% | Draw
27.2% | Universidad de Chile
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes La Serena's performance.Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Chile might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes La Serena that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Chile could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↓
(4.61) |
3.44 ↓
(4.01) |
2.32 ↑
(1.64) |
5.5%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes La Serena: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Deportes La Serena (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 0.
- Deportes La Serena has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Universidad de Chile has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Universidad de Chile has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Universidad de Chile is the team to beat.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.5:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Universidad de Chile?
Deportes La Serena has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Deportes La Serena?
Universidad de Chile has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
17.04.2025
Universidad de Chile
-
Deportes La Serena
3:1
09.10.2022
Deportes La Serena
-
Universidad de Chile
1:2
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 36:12 | 24 | 56 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 29:26 | 3 | 41 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39:33 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | U. De Chile | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 45:23 | 22 | 39 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30:21 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 36:26 | 10 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Nublense | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 24:32 | -8 | 22 |
| 13 | La Serena | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | Limache | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 24:44 | -20 | 17 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
