Result
4:0
05/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 8
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (250/325) | 76% (256/336) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (250/325) | 76% (256/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (19/50) | 54% (31/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (61/85) | 58% (56/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 2.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | -1.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Romero L. 🟨,
- 38', Mac Allister F. 🟨,
- 43', Salazar Y. 🟨,
- 45+1', Morales M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Romero L. ↓, Barrera L. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 0, Hormazabal F. ⚽, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. (A),
- 55', 2 - 0, Guerrero Pena M. G. ⚽, Poblete Zuniga I. E. (A),
- 58', Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↓, Assadi L. ↑,
- 61', Stefanelli N. ↓, Sepulveda C. ↑,
- 63', Marin M. 🟨,
- 68', 3 - 0, Altamirano J. ⚽, Guerrero Pena M. G. (A),
- 71', Marin M. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
- 71', Vargas J. ↓, Velasquez M. ↑,
- 74', Altamirano J. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
- 74', Morales M. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 74', Barrera L. 🟨,
- 75', Castellon G. 🟨,
- 82', Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 90+4', 4 - 0, Arce A. ⚽, Assadi L. (A),
Chances of winning
Universidad de Chile
57.2% | Draw
25% | Deportes La Serena
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad de Chile's form might have worsened.Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.46) |
3.73 ↓
(4.25) |
5.31 ↓
(6.4) |
6.5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Deportes La Serena has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Universidad de Chile is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:9. (average 1.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Universidad de Chile won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 2.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Deportes La Serena?
Universidad de Chile has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Universidad de Chile?
Deportes La Serena has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
20.03.2026
Universidad de Chile
-
Deportes La Serena
2:2
28.09.2025
Deportes La Serena
-
Universidad de Chile
1:1
17.04.2025
Universidad de Chile
-
Deportes La Serena
3:1
09.10.2022
Deportes La Serena
-
Universidad de Chile
1:2
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Limache | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | U. De Chile | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Nublense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | O'Higgins | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Coquimbo | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | U. De Concepcion | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:14 | -7 | 11 |
| 10 | A. Italiano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | La Serena | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Palestino | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:17 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
