Deportivo Recoleta vs San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Deportivo Recoleta
21.8%
Draw
30%
San Lorenzo
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.2% 30.1% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6% 30.7% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Deportivo Recoleta - San Lorenzo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.38
    (4.47)
    3.04
    (3.14)
    1.93
    (1.94)
    7.6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Recoleta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Lorenzo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recoleta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, San Lorenzo is considered a favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Draw
    Qualification

    Final
    1Nacional AsuncionRecoleta1 : 2
    2Sportivo TrinidenseOlimpia Asuncion0 : 1
    3Alianza Atl.Deportivo Garcilaso2 : 0
    4CiencianoFBC Melgar2 : 1
    5Montevideo CityDefensor Sp.1 : 0
    6Boston RiverRacing Montevideo1 : 0
    7Puerto CabelloMonagas1 : 0
    8CaracasMetropolitanos1 : 0
    9U. De ChilePalestino1 : 2
    10CobresalA. Italiano1 : 2
    11Atl. NacionalMillonarios1 : 3
    12America De CaliBucaramanga2 : 1
    13IndependienteGuabira1 : 0
    14BloomingSA Bulo Bulo3 : 0
    15Dep. CuencaLibertad3 : 0
    16OrenseMacara0 : 1