Result
1:5
05/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | ESPN 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.57% (1/28) | 19.23% (5/26) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 84% (21/25) | 96.43% (27/28) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 14.29% (1/7) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 85.71% (6/7) | 100% (6/6) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 40.43 | 59.57 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 03:22, Krebs P. (2 min),
- 08:16, Karlsson E. (2 min),
- 10:24, (2 min),
- 12:00, 0 - 1, McLeod R. (G),
- 14:04, Acciari N. (2 min),
- 14:48, 1 - 1, Rust B. (G), Kindel B. (A),
- 2nd Period (0 - 3)
- 00:38, Malkin E. (2 min),
- 00:38, Malkin E. (5 min),
- 00:38, Dahlin R. (2 min),
- 04:10, 1 - 2, Norris J. (G), Doan J. (A), Byram B. (A2)
- 04:10, (2 min),
- 05:25, McLeod R. (2 min),
- 06:18, 1 - 3, Tuch A. (G), Power O. (A), Thompson T. (A2)
- 10:30, 1 - 4, Power O. (G), Norris J. (A), Ostlund N. (A2)
- 14:44, Malenstyn B. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 07:04, Kindel B. (2 min),
- 11:54, Dahlin R. (2 min),
- 16:53, 1 - 5, Samuelsson M. (G),
Chances of winning
Pittsburgh Penguins
37.9% | Draw
22.6% | Buffalo Sabres
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pittsburgh Penguins's form might have worsened.Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buffalo Sabres's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pittsburgh Penguins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buffalo Sabres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.21) |
4.18 ↓
(4.37) |
2.4 ↓
(2.85) |
5.9%
(3.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Buffalo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 2.5% – 64.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5, OT - Buffalo (3.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Buffalo Sabres will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 25%). Buffalo (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 4.
- In recent matches, Pittsburgh has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Buffalo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Buffalo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Pittsburgh: Crosby S.
(Knee Injury)
Jones C.
(Doping)
Lizotte B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
St.Ivany J.
(Hand Injury)
- There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Greenway J.
(Abdominal strain)
Kulich J.
(Health problems)
Timmins C.
(Broken Leg)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 76:64. (average 3.8:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 3.9:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Pittsburgh Penguins won against Buffalo Sabres?
Pittsburgh Penguins has won 12 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buffalo Sabres won against Pittsburgh Penguins?
Buffalo Sabres has won 7 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres were as follows:
05.02.2026
Buffalo Sabres
-
Pittsburgh Penguins
2:5
26.11.2025
Pittsburgh Penguins
-
Buffalo Sabres
4:2
03.10.2025
Pittsburgh Penguins
-
Buffalo Sabres
5:4
01.10.2025
Buffalo Sabres
-
Pittsburgh Penguins
3:5
27.03.2025
Buffalo Sabres
-
Pittsburgh Penguins
7:3
Latest results of Pittsburgh Penguins
Latest results of Buffalo Sabres
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 2 : 4 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 4 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 3 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
