Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:5
05/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Premium
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2826
Shots off target
1323
Shooting PCT
3.57% (1/28)19.23% (5/26)
Blocked shots
1111
Goalkeeper Saves
2127
Saves PCT
84% (21/25)96.43% (27/28)
Penalties
76
PIM
2512
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
12
Power-play PCT
0% (0/6)14.29% (1/7)
Pen. Killing PCT
85.71% (6/7)100% (6/6)
Hits
1820
Faceoffs Won
1928
Faceoffs %
40.4359.57
Giveaways
1613
Takeaways
23
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:22, Krebs P. (2 min),
  • 08:16, Karlsson E. (2 min),
  • 10:24, (2 min),
  • 12:00, 0 - 1, McLeod R. (G),
  • 14:04, Acciari N. (2 min),
  • 14:48, 1 - 1, Rust B. (G), Kindel B. (A),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 3)
  • 00:38, Malkin E. (2 min),
  • 00:38, Malkin E. (5 min),
  • 00:38, Dahlin R. (2 min),
  • 04:10, 1 - 2, Norris J. (G), Doan J. (A), Byram B. (A2)
  • 04:10, (2 min),
  • 05:25, McLeod R. (2 min),
  • 06:18, 1 - 3, Tuch A. (G), Power O. (A), Thompson T. (A2)
  • 10:30, 1 - 4, Power O. (G), Norris J. (A), Ostlund N. (A2)
  • 14:44, Malenstyn B. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 07:04, Kindel B. (2 min),
  • 11:54, Dahlin R. (2 min),
  • 16:53, 1 - 5, Samuelsson M. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pittsburgh Penguins
37.9%
Draw
22.6%
Buffalo Sabres
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 22.2% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 21.4% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pittsburgh Penguins's form might have worsened.
  • Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buffalo Sabres's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pittsburgh Penguins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buffalo Sabres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.21)
    4.18
    (4.37)
    2.4
    (2.85)
    5.9%
    (3.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Buffalo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 2.5%64.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Buffalo (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5, OT - Buffalo (3.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 25%). Buffalo (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 4.
    • In recent matches, Pittsburgh has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Buffalo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Buffalo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Pittsburgh: Crosby S. (Knee Injury) Jones C. (Doping) Lizotte B. (Lower-Body Injury) St.Ivany J. (Hand Injury)
    • There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Greenway J. (Abdominal strain) Kulich J. (Health problems) Timmins C. (Broken Leg)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 76:64. (average 3.8:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 3.9:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres were as follows:
    05.02.2026 Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins 2:5
    26.11.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres 4:2
    03.10.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres 5:4
    01.10.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins 3:5
    27.03.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins 7:3
    Latest results of Buffalo Sabres
    NHL Table
    Main

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    2Dallas Stars ✔ 8238121220279:226112
    3Minnesota Wild ✔ 8231151224272:240104
    4Vegas Golden Knights ✔ 823091726265:25095
    5Utah Mammoth ✔ 813310632265:23592
    6Edmonton Oilers ✔ 813191130276:26891
    7Anaheim Ducks ✔ 812517633268:28490
    8Los Angeles Kings ✔ 8122132026224:24490
    9Nashville Predators8128101033243:26486
    10San Jose Sharks812612835245:29184
    11St. Louis Blues813241233226:25584
    12Winnipeg Jets812871234230:25482
    13Seattle Kraken812681136226:26179
    14Calgary Flames81267939209:25875
    15Chicago Blackhawks822271439213:27572
    16Vancouver Canucks811510848215:31058


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 823914722296:240113
    2Buffalo Sabres ✔ 82428923288:241109
    3Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 824010626290:231106
    4Montreal Canadiens ✔ 8234141024283:256106
    5Boston Bruins ✔ 8233121027272:250100
    6Ottawa Senators ✔ 823861127278:24699
    7Pittsburgh Penguins ✔ 823471625293:26898
    8Philadelphia Flyers ✔ 8227161227250:24398
    9Washington Capitals82376930263:24495
    10Detroit Red Wings8230111031241:25892
    11Columbus Blue Jackets8228121230253:25392
    12New York Islanders822914534233:24191
    13New Jersey Devils822913337230:25487
    14Florida Panthers82328438251:27684
    15Toronto Maple Leafs822391436253:29978
    16New York Rangers82259939238:25077

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

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    Vegas Golden Knights is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Utah Mammoth is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Edmonton Oilers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Anaheim Ducks is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Kings is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Boston Bruins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Ottawa Senators is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh Penguins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Philadelphia Flyers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )