Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
06/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Sky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2925
Shots off target
1415
Shooting PCT
13.79% (4/29)8% (2/25)
Blocked shots
1010
Goalkeeper Saves
2325
Saves PCT
92% (23/25)89.29% (25/28)
Penalties
76
PIM
1412
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/6)14.29% (1/7)
Pen. Killing PCT
85.71% (6/7)100% (6/6)
Hits
2127
Faceoffs Won
2831
Faceoffs %
47.4652.54
Giveaways
1217
Takeaways
44
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 01:56, Holmberg P. (2 min),
  • 03:33, Tuch A. (2 min),
  • 05:42, 1 - 0, Tuch A. (G), Byram B. (A), McLeod R. (A2)
  • 07:19, D'Astous C. (2 min),
  • 10:03, Greenway J. (2 min),
  • 10:03, Dunne J. (2 min),
  • 10:03, Perry C. (2 min),
  • 11:45, 1 - 1, Kucherov N. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 14:04, 2 - 1, Norris J. (G), Doan J. (A), Benson Z. (A2)
  • 16:37, Doan J. (2 min),
  • 19:25, Girgensons Z. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:56, 2 - 2, Guentzel J. (G), Point B. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 04:06, Quinn J. (2 min),
  • 07:38, 3 - 2, Zucker J. (G), Byram B. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)
  • 10:05, Cernak E. (2 min),
  • 16:32, Tuch A. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 10:40, Guentzel J. (2 min),
  • 10:40, Benson Z. (2 min),
  • 18:06, 4 - 2, Quinn J. (G), Zucker J. (A), Luukkonen U. (A2)

Chances of winning


Buffalo Sabres
36.9%
Draw
22.6%
Tampa Bay Lightning
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 22% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 23% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Buffalo Sabres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.5)
    4.19
    (4.3)
    2.34
    (2.35)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • Buffalo is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    • Tampa Bay is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 3.
    • Buffalo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tampa Bay is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Buffalo: Carrick S. (Arm Injury) Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Kulich J. (Health problems)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Carlile D. (Lower-Body Injury) Crozier M. (Muscle Injury) Hedman V. (Personal Reasons) James D. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Buffalo: Ostlund N. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Hagel B. (Injury) Sabourin S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 74:84. (average 3.7:4.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:36. (average 3.9:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    08.03.2026 Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning 8:7
    28.02.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 2:6
    03.02.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 4:3
    13.04.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 7:4
    05.04.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2
    Latest results of Buffalo Sabres
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)Los Angeles Kings (8)4 : 0
    2Dallas Stars (2)Minnesota Wild (3)2 : 2
    3Vegas Golden Knights (4)Utah Mammoth (6)2 : 2
    4Edmonton Oilers (5)Anaheim Ducks (7)1 : 3
    5Carolina Hurricanes (1)Ottawa Senators (6)4 : 0
    6Pittsburgh Penguins (7)Philadelphia Flyers (8)2 : 3
    7Buffalo Sabres (2)Boston Bruins (5)3 : 1
    8Tampa Bay Lightning (3)Montreal Canadiens (4)2 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Carolina Hurricanes (1)TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2