Result
0:0
20/04/2024 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 34
- Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 429 | 352 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 336 | 236 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 132 | 101 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 55 | 29 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Riccio A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Nestorovski I. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Riccio A. ↓, Oukhadda S. ↑,
- 46', Oukhadda S. 🟨,
- 58', Nestorovski I. ↓, Duris D. ↑,
- 58', Vaisanen S. ↓, Bellusci G. ↑,
- 59', Strizzolo L. ↓, Abiuso F. ↑,
- 60', Tremolada L. ↓, Magnino L. ↑,
- 65', Giovane S. ↓, Caligara F. ↑,
- 73', Gliozzi E. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
- 78', Rodriguez P. ↓, Streng J. ↑,
- 78', Falzerano M. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
- 86', Magnino L. 🟨,
- 88', Masini P. 🟨,
- 90+1', Caligara F. 🟨,
- 90+2', Zedadka K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ascoli
33.7% | Draw
32.4% | Modena
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Ascoli - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↑
(2.81) |
2.91 ↓
(2.99) |
2.79 ↑
(2.75) |
5.8%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ascoli - Modena?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 78.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 60.6% – 97.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2.
- Recent matches Ascoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Modena is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Ascoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-12.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Modena?
Ascoli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Ascoli?
Modena has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - Modena were as follows:
26.08.2023
Modena
-
Ascoli
1:0
01.03.2023
Modena
-
Ascoli
0:1
08.10.2022
Ascoli
-
Modena
1:2
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
