Result
0:2
01/03/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 27
- Referee: Meraviglia F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
SPAL
25.7% | Draw
29.2% | Frosinone
45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
SPAL - Frosinone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.68 ↓
(4) |
3.23 ↓
(3.3) |
2.09 ↑
(1.93) |
5.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SPAL - Frosinone?
Users Predictions:
Frosinone will win
(38 of 47 users predict this - 80.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.6% – 92.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (20.75%), has project points - 40, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (66%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Frosinone has the most likely position - 1 (85.39%), has project points - 76, has currently - 55, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very good chance of promoted (98%), has a good chance of win league (85%).
- This event has quality 35, importance 54, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2.
- SPAL has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Frosinone is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Frosinone will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches SPAL won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-15.
- Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Frosinone?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against SPAL?
Frosinone has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Frosinone were as follows:
08.10.2022
Frosinone
-
SPAL
2:0
Latest results of Frosinone
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
