Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 37
- Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (378/442) | 79% (293/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (378/442) | 79% (293/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (39/64) | 40% (17/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (89/123) | 61% (60/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 47% (8/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Marchizza R. ↓, Bracaglia G. ↑,
- 37', Ambrosino G. (Pen),
- 37', 1 - 0, Ambrosino G. ⚽,
- 38', Vita A. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
- 45', Amatucci F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Palmieri R. 🟨,
- 58', D'Alessio F. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
- 58', Palmieri R. ↓, Voltan D. ↑,
- 60', Masciangelo E. 🟨,
- 64', Ambrosino G. ↓, Pecorino E. ↑,
- 64', Kvernadze G. ↓, Begic T. ↑,
- 64', Partipilo A. ↓, Ghedjemis F. ↑,
- 67', Rabbi S. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Okwonkwo O. ⚽, Tessiore A. (A),
- 81', Vural I. ↓, Cichella M. ↑,
- 88', Tessiore A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Frosinone
50.9% | Draw
30.3% | Cittadella
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cittadella might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cittadella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Frosinone - Cittadella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(1.98) |
3.1 ↓
(3.3) |
4.99 ↑
(3.88) |
6.1%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Frosinone - Cittadella?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 2.
- Recent performances by Frosinone have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cittadella's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Frosinone is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Frosinone: Biraschi D.
(Inactive)
Darboe E.
(Foot Injury)
Di Chiara G.
(Inactive)
Kalaj S.
(Injury)
Kone B. L.
(Inactive)
Koutsoupias I.
(Injury)
Pecorino E.
(Inactive)
Szyminski P.
(Injury)
Tsadjout F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cittadella: Capradossi E.
(Yellow Cards)
Cecchetto A.
(Inactive)
Djibril A.
(Injury)
Negro S.
(Injury)
Rizza A.
(Injury)
Tronchin S.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Frosinone won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against Cittadella?
Frosinone has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cittadella won against Frosinone?
Cittadella has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Frosinone - Cittadella were as follows:
27.09.2024
Cittadella
-
Frosinone
1:2
11.02.2023
Frosinone
-
Cittadella
3:0
10.09.2022
Cittadella
-
Frosinone
1:0
Latest results of Frosinone
Latest results of Cittadella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
