Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Alexander Bublik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
10/04/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
57%62%
1st serve points won
68% (17/25)42% (14/33)
2nd serve points won
58% (11/19)45% (9/20)
Break Points Saved
1/24/10
1st return points won
61% (20/33)40% (10/25)
2nd return points won
55% (11/20)42% (8/19)
Break Points Converted
6/101/2
Winners
1614
Unforced errors
1828
Net points won
55% (6/11)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
64% (28/44)42% (22/53)
Return Points Won
58% (31/53)36% (16/44)
Total Points Won
61% (59/97)39% (38/97)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
86% (6/7)25% (2/8)
Return games won
75% (6/8)14% (1/7)
Total games won
80% (12/15)20% (3/15)

Chances of winning


Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
88%
Alexander Bublik
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
92.1% 7.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Bublik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.09
    (1.03)

    7.98
    (11.94)
    4.6%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Bublik?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Bublik will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Alcaraz Garfia (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5 Games - Alcaraz Garfia (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Bublik is ranked ATP: 11.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Alcaraz Garfia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the obvious favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.2 : 0
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.0 : 2
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Lehecka J. (11)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Hurkacz H.2 : 1
    4Blockx A.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Berrettini M.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    6Bergs Z.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Ruud C. (RET.) (9)1 : 0
    8Machac T.Sinner J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bublik A. (8)2 : 0
    2Vacherot V.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 1
    3Fonseca J.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Vacherot V.
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2