Result
0:2
10/04/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 67% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 80% (35/44) | 71% (42/59) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 49% (17/35) | 59% (17/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 2/3 | 2/3 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 29% (17/59) | 20% (9/44) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 51% (18/35) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 1/3 | 1/3 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 35 | 23 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 41 | 31 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 82% (9/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (52/79) | 67% (59/88) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (29/88) | 34% (27/79) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (81/167) | 51% (86/167) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 92% (11/12) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 8% (1/12) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 50% (12/24) |
Chances of winning
Joel Schwaerzler
53.9% | Toby Samuel
46.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Toby Samuel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Joel Schwaerzler - Toby Samuel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.84) |
|
2.03 ↑
(1.84) |
6.9%
(8.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Joel Schwaerzler - Toby Samuel?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Samuel will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 174. Samuel is ranked ATP: 169.
- Recent performances by Schwaerzler have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Samuel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Schwaerzler may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- We predict that Samuel will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Joel Schwaerzler won against Toby Samuel?
Joel Schwaerzler has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toby Samuel won against Joel Schwaerzler?
Toby Samuel has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Joel Schwaerzler - Toby Samuel were as follows:
Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
Latest results of Toby Samuel
