Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
20/04/2026 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Viola F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
boliviaBoliviaESPN
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.090.48
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
40
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
61
Passes
73% (203/280)79% (315/398)
Yellow cards
25
Expected goals (xG)
2.090.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.510.00
Total shots
198
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
93
Shots inside the box
85
Shots outside the box
113
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
1313
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1916
Passes
73% (203/280)79% (315/398)
Long passes
48% (32/67)47% (27/57)
Passes in final third
65% (55/85)62% (61/98)
Crosses
18% (3/17)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.28
Throw ins
1717
Fouls
1718
Tackles
69% (9/13)56% (10/18)
Duels won
5067
Clearances
2230
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.001.51
Goals prevented
0.000.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Andrada B. , Armoa B. ,
  • 36', Rigamonti C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Medina A. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Modica A. , Lencioni F. (A),
  • 60', Guidara T. 🟨,
  • 63', Medina A. , Carrera R. ,
  • 63', Watson F. N. , Marcelino Moreno ,
  • 63', Besozzi L. , Aquino D. ,
  • 64', Modica A. 🟨,
  • 72', Sepulveda M. , Salvio E. ,
  • 75', Antonini F. , Barboza N. ,
  • 75', Cortez I. , Carrera L. ,
  • 79', Fernandez E. , O'Connor T. ,
  • 79', Modica A. , Simoni V. ,
  • 82', Valois Y. , De Martis T. ,
  • 84', De Jesus R. 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
29%
Draw
33.5%
Lanús
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 33.1% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 33% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (2.95)
    2.82
    (2.85)
    2.52
    (2.71)
    5.9%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Lanús will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 54%99.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lanús will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Gimnasia Mendoza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lanús's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Lanús is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Gonzales (Injury) Linares N. (Muscle Injury) Paredes L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lanús: Bou W. (Inactive) Cardozo A. (Injury) Izquierdoz C. (Yellow Cards) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lanús
    16.04.2026 Lanús - Always Ready 1:0
    13.04.2026 Lanús - Banfield 1:0
    08.04.2026 Mirassol - Lanús 1:0
    01.04.2026 Lanús - Platense 0:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1475215:9626
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1454521:17419
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    4Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1475215:10526
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1456316:11521
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)