Result
1:2
17/03/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | ESPN, ESPN Premium |
Bolivia | ESPN |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (236/309) | 82% (362/442) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (236/309) | 82% (362/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 46% (29/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (45/75) | 60% (75/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 58% (19/33) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', Modica A. 🟨,
- 41', Palacios T. 🟨,
- 44', Benedetti G. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Modica A. ⚽, Saavedra F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Perez Fabricio ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
- 59', Paredes L. ↓, Cortez I. ↑,
- 59', Rodriguez S. ↓, Armoa B. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Palacios T. ⚽, Piovi L. (A),
- 64', Modica A. ↓, Ferreyra B. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Palacios T. ⚽, Carrillo G. (A),
- 74', Meza E. ↓, Mancuso E. ↑,
- 75', Cetre E. 🟨,
- 77', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
- 80', Linares N. ↓, Simoni V. ↑,
- 80', Munoz E. ↓, Carrera L. ↑,
- 84', Carrillo G. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
- 84', Palacios T. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
- 84', Mancuso E. 🟨,
- 89', Castro A. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,
- 90+4', Antonini F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 22.8% | Draw 33% | Estudiantes La Plata 44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes La Plata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.15 ↑ (3.8) |
2.87 ↑ (2.76) |
2.15 ↓ (2.18) |
5.5% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes La Plata?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 11.9% – 76.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Gimnasia Mendoza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Estudiantes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Estudiantes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Andrada B.
(Muscle Injury)
O'Connor T.
(Knee Injury)
Romano N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Alario L.
(Foot Injury)
Arzamendia S.
(Knee Injury)
Sosa J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Gimnasia Mendoza: Gonzales
(Injury)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?
Estudiantes La Plata has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
Latest results of Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Lanus ✔ | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 7 | Independiente | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 10 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 4 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:18 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)