Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs Estudiantes La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/03/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
boliviaBoliviaESPN
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.770.71
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
26
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
53
Passes
76% (236/309)82% (362/442)
Yellow cards
25
Expected goals (xG)
0.770.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.951.20
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
56
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1824
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1710
Passes
76% (236/309)82% (362/442)
Long passes
46% (22/48)46% (29/63)
Passes in final third
60% (45/75)60% (75/125)
Crosses
19% (4/21)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.911.04
Throw ins
2013
Fouls
1017
Tackles
63% (10/16)58% (19/33)
Duels won
5462
Clearances
4431
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
1.200.95
Goals prevented
-0.80-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', Modica A. 🟨,
  • 41', Palacios T. 🟨,
  • 44', Benedetti G. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Modica A. , Saavedra F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Perez Fabricio , Cetre E. ,
  • 59', Paredes L. , Cortez I. ,
  • 59', Rodriguez S. , Armoa B. ,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Palacios T. , Piovi L. (A),
  • 64', Modica A. , Ferreyra B. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Palacios T. , Carrillo G. (A),
  • 74', Meza E. , Mancuso E. ,
  • 75', Cetre E. 🟨,
  • 77', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
  • 80', Linares N. , Simoni V. ,
  • 80', Munoz E. , Carrera L. ,
  • 84', Carrillo G. , Nunez S. ,
  • 84', Palacios T. , Gaich A. ,
  • 84', Mancuso E. 🟨,
  • 89', Castro A. , Gabriel Neves ,
  • 90+4', Antonini F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
22.8%
Draw
33%
Estudiantes La Plata
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 33.4% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4% 32.3% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.15
    (3.8)
    2.87
    (2.76)
    2.15
    (2.18)
    5.5%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 11.9%76.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gimnasia Mendoza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Estudiantes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Estudiantes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Andrada B. (Muscle Injury) O'Connor T. (Knee Injury) Romano N. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Alario L. (Foot Injury) Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Sosa J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gimnasia Mendoza: Gonzales (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1475215:9626
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1454521:17419
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    4Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1475215:10526
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1456316:11521
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)