Roman Safiullin vs Luca Van Assche – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
72
Double Faults
34
1st serve percentage
66%60%
1st serve points won
67% (38/57)59% (36/61)
2nd serve points won
43% (13/30)51% (21/41)
Break Points Saved
4/917/23
1st return points won
43% (26/61)37% (21/57)
2nd return points won
49% (20/41)57% (17/30)
Break Points Converted
6/235/9
Winners
4724
Unforced errors
4824
Net points won
83% (15/18)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
59% (51/87)56% (57/102)
Return Points Won
44% (45/102)41% (36/87)
Total Points Won
51% (96/189)49% (93/189)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
04
Service games won
67% (10/15)57% (8/14)
Return games won
43% (6/14)33% (5/15)
Total games won
55% (16/29)45% (13/29)

Chances of winning


Roman Safiullin
35.6%
Luca Van Assche
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roman Safiullin's form might have worsened.
  • Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Van Assche's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roman Safiullin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Roman Safiullin - Luca Van Assche Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.17)

    1.47
    (1.61)
    6.6%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Roman Safiullin - Luca Van Assche?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Van Assche will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 50.6%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Assche (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Van Assche (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Assche (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Safiullin is ranked ATP: 226. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 100.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Van Assche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Safiullin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Roman Safiullin
    Latest results of Luca Van Assche