Result
0:1
15/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- US Open Cup - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Osmanovic E. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (236/323) | 77% (236/307) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (236/323) | 77% (236/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (40/83) | 52% (31/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (49/96) | 67% (72/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (21/26) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Spicer T. ⚽, Ojeda B. (A),
- 40', Brekalo D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Brekalo D. ↓, Guske C. ↑,
- 56', Miglietti G. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
- 57', Mesias A. ↓, Bachstein D. ↑,
- 59', Ojeda B. ↓, Atuesta E. ↑,
- 59', Tsukada Y. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
- 59', Reid-Brown T. ↓, Angulo I. ↑,
- 71', Garcia C. 🟨,
- 76', Spicer T. ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 88', Ferrin A. ↓, Cerro I. ↑,
- 90+7', Ellis J. 🟨,
- 90+8', Guske C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Naples
22.5% | Draw
23.8% | Orlando City
53.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Naples - Orlando City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.17 ↑
(3.82) |
3.81 ↓
(4.18) |
1.72 ↑
(1.71) |
8.2%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Naples - Orlando City?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Naples will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Orlando City will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Naples is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Orlando City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Naples may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Naples has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Orlando City has had a series of away games.
- Orlando City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Naples won against Orlando City?
Naples has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Naples?
Orlando City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naples - Orlando City were as follows:
Latest results of Orlando City
Draw
20261/64-finals| 1 | Chattanooga | Kalonji | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Tennessee Tempo | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Atlanta Utd | |
| 5 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 7 | Charlotte Independ. | Ristozi | 4 : 1 |
| 8 | Charleston | Florida Badgers | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Vermont Green | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | NY Renegades | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | New York City | |
| 13 | New York Red Bulls | Bye | |
| 15 | Steel City | Pittsburgh | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Carolina Core | Virginia Dream | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Flint City | Forward Madison | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Detroit | Michigan Rangers | 5 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | Chicago Fire | |
| 21 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 23 | San Antonio | New Stars | 6 : 0 |
| 24 | Little Rock Rangers | FC Tulsa | 2 : 4 |
| 25 | Lexington | Flower City Union | 9 : 0 |
| 26 | Louisville City | Southern Indiana | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 29 | Houston Dynamo | Bye | |
| 31 | New Mexico | Cruizers | 3 : 2 |
| 32 | Laredo Heat | El Paso | 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Colorado Springs | Azteca | 3 : 0 |
| 34 | Ventura | Spokane Velocity | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 37 | Colorado Rapids | Bye | |
| 39 | Indy Eleven | Menace | 3 : 0 |
| 40 | BOHFS St. Louis | Union Omaha | 0 : 8 |
| 41 | AV Alta | Valley 559 FC | 0 : 1 |
| 42 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 45 | San Jose Earthquakes | Bye | |
| 47 | Orange County SC | Laguna United | 3 : 0 |
| 48 | Phoenix Rising | San Ramon | 4 : 0 |
| 49 | FC Naples | Red Force | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Tormenta | America CFL Spurs (WO.) | |
| 52 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 53 | New England Revolution | Bye | |
| 55 | Rhode Island | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
| 56 | Motown | Hartford Athletic | 0 : 2 |
| 57 | Richmond Kickers | Northern Virginia | 2 : 0 |
| 58 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 61 | DC United | Bye | |
| 63 | Asheville City | Greenville | 3 : 1 |
| 64 | Vistula | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Chattanooga | Tennessee Tempo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | Atlanta Utd | |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Charlotte Independ. | Charleston | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | Vermont Green | Westchester SC | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | New York City | |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls | Bye | |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | Virginia Dream | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Flint City | Detroit | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Chicago Fire | |
| 11 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 12 | San Antonio | FC Tulsa | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Lexington | Louisville City | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Houston Dynamo | Bye | |
| 16 | New Mexico | El Paso | 0 : 4 |
| 17 | Colorado Springs | Spokane Velocity | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Bye | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 19 | Colorado Rapids | Bye | |
| 20 | Indy Eleven | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Valley 559 FC | Sacramento Republic | 0 : 4 |
| 22 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 23 | San Jose Earthquakes | Bye | |
| 24 | Orange County SC | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | FC Naples | America CFL Spurs | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 27 | New England Revolution | Bye | |
| 28 | Rhode Island | Hartford Athletic | 2 : 0 |
| 29 | Richmond Kickers | Loudoun | 1 : 0 |
| 30 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 31 | DC United | Bye | |
| 32 | Asheville City | One Knoxville | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Chattanooga | Atlanta Utd | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Charlotte | Charlotte Independ. | 6 : 0 |
| 3 | Westchester SC | New York City | 2 : 5 |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | Pittsburgh | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Detroit | Chicago Fire | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | St. Louis City | FC Tulsa | 4 : 0 |
| 7 | Louisville City | Austin FC | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | El Paso | 4 : 1 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | Sporting Kansas City | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Colorado Rapids | Union Omaha | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Sacramento Republic | Minnesota United | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | San Jose Earthquakes | Phoenix Rising | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | FC Naples | Orlando City | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | New England Revolution | Rhode Island | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Richmond Kickers | Columbus Crew | 0 : 3 |
| 16 | DC United | One Knoxville | 3 : 4 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Atlanta Utd | Charlotte | |
| 2 | New York City | New York Red Bulls | |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | St. Louis City | |
| 4 | Louisville City | Houston Dynamo | |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | Colorado Rapids | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | San Jose Earthquakes | |
| 7 | Orlando City | New England Revolution | |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | One Knoxville | |
