Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (596/660) | 78% (280/358) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (596/660) | 78% (280/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (13/26) | 40% (24/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (215/252) | 61% (49/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Pasalic M. ⚽, Tiago (A), Angulo I. (A2)
- 35', Abou Ali W. ↓, Habroune T. ↑,
- 41', Iago Teodoro 🟨,
- 43', Brekalo D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Moreira S. 🟨,
- 61', Gomes A. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
- 61', Herrera A. ↓, Picard H. ↑,
- 64', Atuesta E. ↓, Luis Otavio ↑,
- 68', Dorsey G. ↓, Taifi Z. ↑,
- 75', Iago Teodoro ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
- 78', Jansson R. ↓, Reid-Brown T. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Rossi D. ⚽,
- 82', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 83', Chambost D. ↓, Bangoura S. ↑,
- 83', Moreira S. ↓, Gazdag D. ↑,
- 86', Pasalic M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Columbus Crew
66.7% | Draw
18.4% | Orlando City
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-14.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Columbus Crew that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Columbus Crew - Orlando City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.48) |
5.15 ↑
(4.78) |
6.34 ↑
(5.74) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Columbus Crew - Orlando City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Columbus will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Columbus: 64.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 3.
- Recent performances by Columbus have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Orlando City's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Columbus is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Columbus: Farsi M.
(Hernia)
- There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W.
(Thigh Injury)
Gerbet J.
(Knee Injury)
Spicer T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Columbus: Cheberko Y.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Orlando City: Dorsey G.
(Back Injury)
Jansson R.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 34:33. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.9:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Columbus Crew won against Orlando City?
Columbus Crew has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Columbus Crew?
Orlando City has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew - Orlando City were as follows:
04.10.2025
Orlando City
-
Columbus Crew
1:1
25.07.2025
Columbus Crew
-
Orlando City
1:3
21.09.2024
Columbus Crew
-
Orlando City
4:3
25.05.2024
Orlando City
-
Columbus Crew
0:2
25.11.2023
Orlando City
-
Columbus Crew
0:2
Latest results of Columbus Crew
Latest results of Orlando City
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26:7 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:6 | 20 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:8 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:26 | -18 | 5 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | DC United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | New York City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:32 | -16 | 10 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
