Result
20/04/2026 at 11:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
Chances of winning
Stefano Travaglia
49% | Nikoloz Basilashvili
51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stefano Travaglia's form might have worsened.Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nikoloz Basilashvili's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefano Travaglia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nikoloz Basilashvili, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stefano Travaglia - Nikoloz Basilashvili Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.75) |
|
1.84 ↓
(2.07) |
6.4%
(5.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Stefano Travaglia - Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Stefano Travaglia will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Travaglia is ranked ATP: 136. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 118.
- Travaglia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Basilashvili is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Travaglia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- We predict that Basilashvili will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Travaglia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stefano Travaglia won against Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Stefano Travaglia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nikoloz Basilashvili won against Stefano Travaglia?
Nikoloz Basilashvili has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stefano Travaglia - Nikoloz Basilashvili were as follows:
Latest results of Stefano Travaglia
Latest results of Nikoloz Basilashvili
Draw
Singles - QualificationSemi-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Gojo B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Harris B. | Merida Aguilar D. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Garin C. (2) | Blanchet U. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Pellegrino A. | Damm M. (24) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Svajda Z. (3) | Sakamoto R. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Gea A. | Gaubas V. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Prizmic D. (4) | O'Connell C. | |
| 8 | Piros Z. | Barrios Vera T. (21) | |
| 9 | Vukic A. (5) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Moller E. | Gaston H. (18) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Halys Q. (6) | Faria J. | |
| 12 | Harris L. | McDonald M. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Kypson P. (7) | Kouame M. (WC) | |
| 14 | Travaglia S. | Basilashvili N. (20) | |
| 15 | Vallejo D. (8) | Martinez P. | |
| 16 | Rocha H. | Choinski J. (19) | |
| 17 | Kovacevic A. (9) | Echargui M. | |
| 18 | Budkov Kjaer N. | Maestrelli F. (16) | |
| 19 | van Assche L. (10) | Dedura D. (WC) | |
| 20 | Blanch Dar. (WC) | Bonzi B. (15) | |
| 21 | Wu Y. (11) | Dhamne M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Virtanen O. | Droguet T. (17) | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Hijikata R. (12) | Rodesch C. | |
| 24 | Lajovic D. | Arnaldi M. (14) | |
Final
