Zachary Svajda vs Rei Sakamoto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
20/04/2026 at 04:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
36
Double Faults
01
1st serve percentage
67%59%
1st serve points won
74% (34/46)86% (30/35)
2nd serve points won
48% (11/23)75% (18/24)
Break Points Saved
8/100/0
1st return points won
14% (5/35)26% (12/46)
2nd return points won
25% (6/24)52% (12/23)
Break Points Converted
0/02/10
Winners
1932
Unforced errors
2016
Net points won
80% (4/5)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
65% (45/69)81% (48/59)
Return Points Won
19% (11/59)35% (24/69)
Total Points Won
44% (56/128)56% (72/128)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
78% (7/9)100% (10/10)
Return games won
0% (0/10)22% (2/9)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Zachary Svajda
40.5%
Rei Sakamoto
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 51.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zachary Svajda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zachary Svajda's form might have worsened.
  • Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rei Sakamoto's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zachary Svajda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Zachary Svajda - Rei Sakamoto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (1.91)

    1.58
    (1.88)
    6.3%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Zachary Svajda - Rei Sakamoto?
  • Users Predictions: Zachary Svajda will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zachary Svajda will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Svajda is ranked ATP: 84. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 161.
    • Recent performances by Svajda have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sakamoto is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Svajda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Zachary Svajda
    Latest results of Rei Sakamoto
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Gojo B.2 : 0
    2Harris B.Merida Aguilar D. (13)0 : 2
    3Garin C. (2)Blanchet U. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Pellegrino A.Damm M. (24)0 : 2
    5Svajda Z. (3)Sakamoto R. (WC)0 : 2
    6Gea A.Gaubas V. (22)0 : 2
    7Prizmic D. (4)O'Connell C.
    8Piros Z.Barrios Vera T. (21)
    9Vukic A. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    10Moller E.Gaston H. (18)2 : 0
    11Halys Q. (6)Faria J.
    12Harris L.McDonald M. (23)2 : 0
    13Kypson P. (7)Kouame M. (WC)
    14Travaglia S.Basilashvili N. (20)
    15Vallejo D. (8)Martinez P.
    16Rocha H.Choinski J. (19)
    17Kovacevic A. (9)Echargui M.
    18Budkov Kjaer N.Maestrelli F. (16)
    19van Assche L. (10)Dedura D. (WC)
    20Blanch Dar. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)
    21Wu Y. (11)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    22Virtanen O.Droguet T. (17)1 : 2
    23Hijikata R. (12)Rodesch C.
    24Lajovic D.Arnaldi M. (14)

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (13)
    2Garin C. (2)Damm M. (24)
    3Sakamoto R.Gaubas V. (22)
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5Llamas Ruiz P.Moller E.
    6TBD #11Harris L.
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11Wu Y. (11)Droguet T. (17)
    12TBD #23TBD #24