Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
24/04/2026 at 05:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
42
Double Faults
12
1st serve percentage
57%70%
1st serve points won
53% (17/32)93% (26/28)
2nd serve points won
46% (11/24)50% (6/12)
Break Points Saved
7/110/0
1st return points won
7% (2/28)47% (15/32)
2nd return points won
50% (6/12)54% (13/24)
Break Points Converted
0/04/11
Winners
1119
Unforced errors
2411
Net points won
38% (3/8)100% (2/2)
Service Points Won
50% (28/56)80% (32/40)
Return Points Won
20% (8/40)50% (28/56)
Total Points Won
38% (36/96)63% (60/96)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
43% (3/7)100% (8/8)
Return games won
0% (0/8)57% (4/7)
Total games won
20% (3/15)80% (12/15)

Chances of winning


Jan-Lennard Struff
55.5%
Alex Michelsen
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan-Lennard Struff's performance.
  • Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Michelsen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan-Lennard Struff that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Michelsen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jan-Lennard Struff - Alex Michelsen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (2.43)

    2.15
    (1.61)
    4.7%
    (3.4%)
    What is the prediction for Jan-Lennard Struff - Alex Michelsen?
  • Users Predictions: Jan-Lennard Struff will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Struff is ranked ATP: 81. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 37.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Jan-Lennard Struff
    Latest results of Alex Michelsen
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1Moller E.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Rinderknech A. (22)
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Nava E.
    7TBD #13Michelsen A. (33)
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2