Result
30/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3
- Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN, Tigo Sports |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
48.6% | Draw
27.6% | Olimpia Asuncion
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vasco da Gama - Olimpia Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.68) |
3.38 ↓
(3.67) |
3.97 ↓
(4.87) |
6.8%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Olimpia Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
Vasco da Gama will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Vasco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Olimpia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vasco is the team to beat.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Vasco da Gama has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Vasco da Gama?
Olimpia Asuncion has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | America De Cali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Macara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Tigre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Boston River | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Dep. Cuenca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Caracas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Palestino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Vasco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
