Manuel Mazza vs Lorenzo Carboni – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
27/04/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
32
1st serve percentage
50%56%
1st serve points won
45% (10/22)75% (24/32)
2nd serve points won
36% (8/22)56% (14/25)
Break Points Saved
6/101/1
1st return points won
25% (8/32)64% (14/22)
2nd return points won
44% (11/25)64% (14/22)
Break Points Converted
0/14/10
Winners
713
Unforced errors
3613
Net points won
83% (5/6)100% (5/5)
Service Points Won
41% (15/37)72% (31/43)
Return Points Won
28% (12/43)59% (22/37)
Total Points Won
34% (27/80)66% (53/80)
Last 10 balls
19
Match points saved
00
Service games won
29% (2/7)88% (7/8)
Return games won
13% (1/8)71% (5/7)
Total games won
20% (3/15)80% (12/15)

Chances of winning


Manuel Mazza
42.5%
Lorenzo Carboni
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 51.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manuel Mazza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Mazza than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manuel Mazza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Carboni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Manuel Mazza - Lorenzo Carboni Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.09)

    1.63
    (1.66)
    7%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Mazza is ranked ATP: 594. Carboni is ranked ATP: 458.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Mazza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Manuel Mazza
    Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni