Lorenzo Carboni vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/04/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
37

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Carboni
71.1%
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 55.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Carboni's performance.
  • Juan Cruz Martin Manzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Cruz Martin Manzano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-26.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Carboni that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Cruz Martin Manzano than the current prediction. (+26.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Cruz Martin Manzano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lorenzo Carboni - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.83)

    3.61
    (1.83)
    -4.3%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Carboni is ranked ATP: 470. Martin Manzano is ranked ATP: 575.
    • Recent performances by Carboni have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Martin Manzano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Martin Manzano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Carboni is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carboni won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni