Result
2:1
29/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 73% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 69% (78/113) | 69% (50/72) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 46% (19/41) | 67% (29/43) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 13/16 | 4/6 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 31% (22/72) | 31% (35/113) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 33% (14/43) | 54% (22/41) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/6 | 3/16 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 38 | 40 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 60 | 46 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 57% (30/53) | 75% (9/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (97/154) | 69% (79/115) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (36/115) | 37% (57/154) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (133/269) | 51% (136/269) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 88% (15/17) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 18% (3/17) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 47% (16/34) | 53% (18/34) |
Chances of winning
Keegan Smith
47.4% | Hayato Matsuoka
52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Hayato Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Keegan Smith - Hayato Matsuoka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97
(1.97) |
|
1.78 ↑
(1.73) |
7%
(8.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Keegan Smith - Hayato Matsuoka?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Matsuoka will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Smith: 31.2% – 83%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5 Sets - Smith (1.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Keegan Smith will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Smith (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Smith is ranked ATP: 302. Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 366.
- Smith is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Matsuoka is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Matsuoka will win today's game, with odds of 1.93.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Keegan Smith won against Hayato Matsuoka?
Keegan Smith has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hayato Matsuoka won against Keegan Smith?
Hayato Matsuoka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Keegan Smith - Hayato Matsuoka were as follows:
Latest results of Keegan Smith
Latest results of Hayato Matsuoka
