Atyrau vs Altai Semey – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 8
  • Referee: Bayimbet S. (Kaz)

Chances of winning


Atyrau
38.6%
Draw
30.6%
Altai Semey
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 26.9% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 26% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atyrau's form might have worsened.
  • Altai Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Altai Semey's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+20.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atyrau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altai Semey than the current prediction. (-15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Altai Semey, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atyrau - Altai Semey Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (1.61)
    2.99
    (3.41)
    2.98
    (5.75)
    9.3%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Atyrau - Altai Semey?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atyrau will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Altai will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Atyrau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atyrau is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atyrau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Atyrau
    29.04.2026 Atyrau - Zhetysu 0:2
    26.04.2026 Astana - Atyrau 2:1
    19.04.2026 Atyrau - Kyzylzhar 0:1
    11.04.2026 Atyrau - Kaisar 2:0
    08.04.2026 Jas Qyran - Atyrau 0:4
    Latest results of Altai Semey
    30.04.2026 Altai Semey - Ulytau 4:3
    25.04.2026 Altai Semey - Zhenis 0:0
    19.04.2026 Kaisar - Altai Semey 1:1
    12.04.2026 Altai Semey - Ulytau 1:2
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kairat Almaty853012:3918
    2Ordabasy743012:6615
    3Okzhetpes843112:8415
    4Yelimay Semey734012:7513
    5FC Astana733111:9212
    6Zhetysu Taldykorgan83329:9012
    7Kyzylzhar832310:7311
    8Ulytau73227:7011
    9Aktobe73138:8010
    10Atyrau71425:507
    11Zhenis71423:8-57
    12Ertis Pavlodar81348:11-36
    13Kaisar Kyzylorda80624:8-46
    14Tobol71247:13-65
    15Altai70433:6-34
    16Kaspij Aktau70163:11-81

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League