Result
4:3 ET
30/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Kazakhstan Cup - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Tasybaev A. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Abylaykhan R. ⚽, Martin D. (A),
- 35', Kukeev Z. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Stoisavljevic D. ↓, Mitrofanov D. ↑,
- 46', Ivanov S. ↓, Odeoyibo S. ↑,
- 46', Micevic N. ↓, Kenzhegulov D. ↑,
- 46', Martin D. ↓, Kospayev E. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Gorshunov E. ⚽, Kukeev Z. (A),
- 55', Mukanbetzhanov A. ↓, Kishi K. ↑,
- 55', Kukeev Z. ↓, Jambor N. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Gorshunov E. ⚽,
- 67', Dadaev I. ↓, Masudov Y. ↑,
- 69', Redzhepov T. 🟨,
- 69', 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 2, Chalkin M. ⚽, Maulenov D. (A),
- 90+2', Jambor N. 🟨,
- 90+6', Kospayev E. ↓, Harada H. ↑,
- Extra Time (2 - 1)
- 95', 2 - 3, Kishi K. ⚽,
- 99', Chalkin M. ↓, Bugulov G. ↑,
- 103', Kishi K. 🟥,
- 110', Afanasenko V. 🟨,
- 111', 3 - 3, Saylybaev O. ⚽, Jambor N. (A),
- 119', 4 - 3, Jambor N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Altai Semey 29.4% | Draw 31.6% | Ulytau 39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altai Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altai Semey's form might have worsened.Ulytau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altai Semey than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altai Semey, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (-4%)
Altai Semey - Ulytau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.43 ↑ (2.5) |
3.19 ↑ (3.15) |
2.58 ↓ (2.6) |
-0.6% (10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Altai has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ulytau's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Altai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Altai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Altai Semey won against Ulytau?
Altai Semey has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulytau won against Altai Semey?
Ulytau has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Altai Semey - Ulytau were as follows:
12.04.2026
Altai Semey
-
Ulytau
1:2
22.08.2024
Altai Semey
-
Ulytau
0:4
04.07.2024
Ulytau
-
Altai Semey
2:1
Latest results of Altai Semey
Draw
20261/16-finals| 1 | Akademiya Ontustik | Ordabasy | 2 : 4 |
| 2 | FC Batyr | Kaspij Aktau | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Jas Qyran | Atyrau | 0 : 4 |
| 4 | Karshiga | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Arys | Aktobe | 0 : 4 |
| 6 | Turan | Yelimay Semey | 1 : 4 |
| 7 | Jelaev Nan | Altai | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Taraz | Ulytau | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Talas | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Jaiyq | Kairat Almaty | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | BKS | FC Astana | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Ansat | Tobol | 0 : 8 |
| 13 | Shakhter Karagandy | Okzhetpes | 2 : 3 |
| 14 | Chromtau | Zhenis | 1 : 4 |
| 15 | SD Family | Ertis Pavlodar | |
| 16 | Khan Tengri | Kyzylzhar | 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ordabasy | Kaspij Aktau | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Atyrau | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Aktobe | Yelimay Semey | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Altai | Ulytau | 4 : 3 |
| 5 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | Kairat Almaty | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | FC Astana | Tobol | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Okzhetpes | Zhenis | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Ertis Pavlodar | Kyzylzhar | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ordabasy | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | |
| 2 | Aktobe | Altai | |
| 3 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | Tobol | |
| 4 | Zhenis | Kyzylzhar | |
Semi-finalsFinal