Result
2:1
26/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 7
- Referee: Kuchma A. (Kaz)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Kasym A. ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 0, Karimov R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Dzhumatov R. ↓, Trufanov Y. ↑,
- 60', Islamkhan B. ↓, Karaman D. ↑,
- 67', Abdulla A. ↓, Seytkaliev A. ↑,
- 72', Trufanov Y. 🟨,
- 76', Tomasov M. ↓, Zhaksylyk N. ↑,
- 76', Abrayev M. ↓, Abdurasulov A. ↑,
- 84', Henrique ↓, Berdesh N. ↑,
- 85', Karimov R. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 1, Kasym A. (Own goal),
- 90+2', Bartolec K. ↓, Anuarov S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Astana
62.9% | Draw
22.8% | Atyrau
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Astana's form might have worsened.Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Astana - Atyrau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.35) |
3.99 ↓
(4.51) |
6.38 ↓
(7.85) |
9.8%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astana won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Astana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Astana is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Astana won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 50:11. (average 2.5:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Astana won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:8. (average 3.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Atyrau?
Astana has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atyrau won against Astana?
Atyrau has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Astana - Atyrau were as follows:
30.04.2025
Atyrau
-
Astana
0:2
26.04.2025
Astana
-
Atyrau
2:1
30.10.2024
Astana
-
Atyrau
3:2
18.05.2024
Atyrau
-
Astana
1:0
22.07.2023
Astana
-
Atyrau
0:0
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Ulytau | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Astana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Kyzylzhar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Atyrau | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Aktobe | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Zhenis | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Ertis Pavlodar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Tobol | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Altai | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Kaspij Aktau | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
