Minija Kretinga vs Sūduva Marijampolė – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
28/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Lithuanian Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Pipiras D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Seck I. ,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Nwegbo D. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Beneta M. ,
  • 90+4', Beneta M. 🟥,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Lee Min-Woo (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Lawson S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Komissarov N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Steponavicius F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Kasparavicius J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Baltrunas Z. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Amirzian S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Mikulenas M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Takei R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Sanokho S. M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Sidibe M. A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Seck I. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Minija Kretinga
22.7%
Draw
24.1%
Sūduva Marijampolė
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.3% 24.5% 51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5% 25.3% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minija Kretinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Minija Kretinga - Sūduva Marijampolė Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.95
    (3.72)
    3.72
    (3.7)
    1.68
    (1.77)
    11.6%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Minija is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Sūduva is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Sūduva is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Minija won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    • Including home match between the teams, Minija won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    Latest results of Minija Kretinga
    Latest results of Sūduva Marijampolė
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1JonavaSiauliai FA0 : 4
    2Klaipedos FMBE1 NFA1 : 0
    3NeptunasDziugas Telsiai0 : 2
    4FK MinijaSuduva3 : 2
    5SveikataKauno Zalgiris0 : 3
    6Ataka VilniusSirvena Birzai4 : 0
    7Vilniaus VytisBanga0 : 4
    8AtmosferaZalgiris2 : 1
    9Tauras TaurageHegelmann1 : 4
    10AFK VilniusGarliava0 : 3
    11Viltis VilniusDainava Alytus1 : 7
    12KursenaiTransinvest1 : 10
    13FSK RadviliskisFK Panevezys0 : 2
    14Vilnius FARiteriai0 : 1
    15BFA VilniusBabrungas1 : 0
    16PempininkaiSirijus2 : 1