Result
03/05/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Chances of winning
Amazonas
45.5% | Draw
31.5% | Caxias
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Amazonas - Caxias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.08) |
2.88
(2.88) |
3.95 ↓
(4.01) |
10%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 10).
- Amazonas is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Caxias has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Amazonas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Amazonas could have a small edge in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Amazonas won against Caxias?
Amazonas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Amazonas?
Caxias has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amazonas - Caxias were as follows:
Latest results of Amazonas
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amazonas | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Brusque | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Guarani | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Paysandu PA | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Inter de Limeira | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Ypiranga FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Ituano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Botafogo PB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | SER Caxias | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Maringa FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Barra FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 | Santa Cruz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Maranhao | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Confianca | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 | Ferroviaria | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Itabaiana | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
