Lazio vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Football Italian Serie A Lazio - Fiorentina
Result
1:2
26/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 22
  • Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2, Moja TV
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaTLN, VIVA
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
maldivesMaldivesICE Sports
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.59
Ball Possession
70%30%
Goal Attempts
227
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
113
Blocked Shots
81
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
142
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
129
Offsides
02
Fouls
912
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2811
Touches in the Opposition Box
4711
Passes
89% (508/574)77% (192/249)
Passes in the final third
76% (134/176)52% (23/44)
Crosses
20% (7/35)20% (2/10)
Tackles
50% (9/18)67% (12/18)
Clearances Total
1046
Interceptions
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Adli Y. ⚽, Gosens R. (A),
  • 17', 0 - 2, Beltran L. ⚽, Dodo (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Isaksen G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
  • 46', Dele-Bashiru F. ↓, Rovella N. ↑,
  • 62', Palladino R. 🟨,
  • 63', Adli Y. 🟨,
  • 63', Adli Y. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
  • 64', Adli Y. 🟨,
  • 66', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Hysaj E. ↑,
  • 70', Dodo 🟨,
  • 71', Mandragora R. 🟨,
  • 77', Dodo ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
  • 77', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
  • 80', Dia B. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
  • 86', Folorunsho M. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
  • 90', Pedro 🟨,
  • 90', Baroni M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Marusic A. ⚽, Hysaj E. (A),
  • 90+4', Baroni M. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Palladino R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lazio
46.4%		Draw
27.4%		Fiorentina
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 27.3% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 22.2% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lazio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiorentina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Lazio - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.07 ↓
    (2.08)    		 3.49 ↑
    (3.49)    		 3.66 ↑
    (3.54)    		 4.3%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Lazio - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 31 - 52.5%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 15 - 25.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 22%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 39.8% – 65.2%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lazio won 2.
    • Recent matches Lazio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fiorentina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Lazio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Lazio will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lazio: Lazzari M. (Knee Injury) Patric (Muscle Injury) Tavares N. (Muscle Injury) Vecino M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Biraghi C. (Coach's decision) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Ikone J. (Coach's decision)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Cataldi D. (Thigh Injury) Colpani A. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lazio won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 36:24 (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Fiorentina were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Fiorentina - Lazio 2:1
    26.02.2024 Fiorentina - Lazio 2:1
    30.10.2023 Lazio - Fiorentina 1:0
    29.01.2023 Lazio - Fiorentina 1:1
    10.10.2022 Fiorentina - Lazio 0:4
    Latest results of Lazio
    23.01.2025 Lazio - Real Sociedad 3:1 ✺
    19.01.2025 Verona - Lazio 0:3 ✺
    10.01.2025 Lazio - Como 1:1 ✺
    05.01.2025 Roma - Lazio 2:0 ✺
    28.12.2024 Lazio - Atalanta 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    19.01.2025 Fiorentina - Torino 1:1 ✺
    13.01.2025 Monza - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺
    04.01.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 0:3 ✺
    29.12.2024 Juventus - Fiorentina 2:2 ✺
    23.12.2024 Fiorentina - Udinese 1:2 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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