Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
2:1
16/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 4, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Football Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
belgiumBelgiumVOOsport World 2
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra, Ring, Voyo
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 7
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
moldovaMoldovaWe Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV3+, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.761.26
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
63
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
61
Passes
86% (482/558)70% (195/278)
Yellow cards
53
Expected goals (xG)
1.761.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.570.85
Total shots
169
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
126
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2714
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1315
Passes
86% (482/558)70% (195/278)
Long passes
53% (23/43)52% (36/69)
Passes in final third
74% (90/121)51% (37/72)
Crosses
18% (4/22)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.13
Throw ins
2324
Fouls
1414
Tackles
46% (6/13)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5061
Clearances
1837
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
0.851.57
Goals prevented
-0.15-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Sarr I. ⚽, Munoz D. (A),
  • 30', Wharton A. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Gudmundsson A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 40', Pino Y. 🟨,
  • 40', Pongracic M. 🟨,
  • 41', Lacroix M. ↓, Riad C. ↑,
  • 45+5', Comuzzo P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mateta J. ↓, Larsen J. S. ↑,
  • 46', Fagioli N. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Ndour C. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
  • 53', Sarr I. 🟨,
  • 67', Ranieri L. 🟨,
  • 70', Comuzzo P. ↓, Kouadio E. ↑,
  • 70', Gosens R. ↓, Balbo L. ↑,
  • 73', Pino Y. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
  • 75', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
  • 75', Solomon M. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
  • 76', Riad C. 🟨,
  • 87', Ndour C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Piccoli R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
28.3%		Draw
26.7%		Crystal Palace
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 28.6% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 30.1% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.
  • Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crystal Palace's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crystal Palace, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Fiorentina - Crystal Palace Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.35 ↑
    (2.48)    		 3.56 ↑
    (3.32)    		 2.11 ↓
    (2.87)    		 5.4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Crystal Palace?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 33.7% – 75.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crystal Palace will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 0-3. Second leg.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Crystal Palace has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Brescianini M. (Injury) Dodo (Yellow Cards) Fortini N. (Back Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Rugani D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Guessand E. (Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Kean M. (Calf Injury) Parisi F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fiorentina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Crystal Palace were as follows:
    09.04.2026 Crystal Palace - Fiorentina 3:0
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    13.04.2026 Fiorentina - Lazio 1:0 ✺
    09.04.2026 Crystal Palace - Fiorentina 3:0 ✺
    04.04.2026 Verona - Fiorentina 0:1 ✺
    22.03.2026 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 1:1 ✺
    19.03.2026 Raków Częstochowa - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Crystal Palace
    12.04.2026 Crystal Palace - Newcastle United 2:1 ✺
    09.04.2026 Crystal Palace - Fiorentina 3:0 ✺
    19.03.2026 AEK Larnaca - Crystal Palace 1:2 ✺
    15.03.2026 Crystal Palace - Leeds United 0:0 ✺
    12.03.2026 Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca 0:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)2 : 2, 3 : 0
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)1 : 2, 3 : 0
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)1 : 3, 3 : 0
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)0 : 4, 2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Crystal Palace (10)
    2Rayo Vallecano (5)Strasbourg (1)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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