Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Moncada A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (356/423) | 78% (263/337) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (356/423) | 78% (263/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 33% (15/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (64/96) | 61% (37/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Fernandez O. ⚽,
- 36', Torres J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mosquera E. ↓, Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↑,
- 46', Moreno K. ↓, Franco P. ↑,
- 59', Lovera M. 🟨,
- 63', Lovera M. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Londono Y. ⚽, Figueroa J. (A),
- 74', Londono Y. ↓, Perez Balcazar J. E. ↑,
- 76', Torres J. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 76', Palacios H. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
- 86', Figueroa J. ↓, Meza Mercado E. W. ↑,
- 86', Pardo F. ↓, Banguero E. ↑,
- 90', Velasquez Y. ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
- 90+3', Banguero E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Meza Mercado E. W. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/45e3k463
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe
62.1% | Draw
24.4% | Alianza Valledupar
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Santa Fe's performance.Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.63) |
3.85 ↑
(3.54) |
6.95 ↑
(5.56) |
6.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Santa Fe (1.83) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
Users Predictions:
Independiente Santa Fe will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 2 - 50%). Alianza (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 3.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Santa Fe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Santa Fe is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Alianza Valledupar?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Alianza Valledupar has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
13.11.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:0
09.09.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Alianza Valledupar
4:1
28.08.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:1
25.05.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Independiente Santa Fe
6:1
26.09.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
