Result
3:3
22/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (411/504) | 69% (190/274) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (411/504) | 69% (190/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (16/48) | 49% (25/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (58/89) | 50% (51/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.76 | -2.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Osorio J. 🟨,
- 16', Salloi D. 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Iloski M. ⚽, Lukic J. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Coello A. 🟨,
- 49', Laryea R. 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 2, Jean Jacques D. ⚽,
- 54', Kerr D. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 2, Sargent J. ⚽, Salloi D. (A),
- 61', Sery Larsen J. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 2, Franklin K. ⚽, Cifuentes J. (A),
- 65', Zimmerman W. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
- 65', Vassilev I. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
- 65', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,
- 78', Makhanya O. 🟨,
- 79', Damiani B. ↓, Alladoh E. ↑,
- 82', Lukic J. ↓, Jakupovic M. ↑,
- 82', Iloski M. ↓, Sullivan C. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 3, Harriel N. ⚽, Bedoya A. (A),
- 90+3', Bedoya A. 🟨,
- 90+6', 3 - 3, Gavran L. ⚽, Coello A. (A),
Chances of winning
Toronto FC
32.6% | Draw
28% | Philadelphia Union
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC's form might have worsened.Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philadelphia Union's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.29) |
3.39 ↑
(3.38) |
2.43 ↓
(2.88) |
5%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 35% – 88%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Philadelphia (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
- Toronto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Philadelphia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Toronto: Corbeanu T.
(Knee Injury)
Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Matheus Pereira
(Groin Injury)
Mihailovic D.
(Pelvis Injury)
Wingo H.
(Muscle Injury)
Zimmerman W.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Anello A.
(Muscle Injury)
Olivas S.
(Ankle Injury)
Sullivan Q.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Kuscevic B.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:32. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Philadelphia Union?
Toronto FC has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Toronto FC?
Philadelphia Union has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
09.08.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
Toronto FC
1:1
28.05.2025
Toronto FC
-
Philadelphia Union
1:2
13.07.2024
Toronto FC
-
Philadelphia Union
2:1
29.05.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Toronto FC
0:0
30.08.2023
Toronto FC
-
Philadelphia Union
3:1
Latest results of Toronto FC
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26:7 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:6 | 20 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:8 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:26 | -18 | 5 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | DC United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | New York City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:32 | -16 | 10 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
