Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union
Result
1:2
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.30
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
68% (187/275)68% (254/376)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.76
Total shots
914
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
2325
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
68% (187/275)68% (254/376)
Long passes
39% (26/66)55% (36/65)
Passes in final third
52% (45/86)58% (96/165)
Crosses
31% (4/13)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.101.07
Throw-ins
2427
Fouls
1317
Tackles
41% (9/22)81% (13/16)
Duels won
7450
Clearances
5810
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.761.00
Goals prevented
-0.240.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Wingo H. , Rosted S. ,
  • 67', Damiani B. , Uhre M. ,
  • 67', Bueno J. , Jean Jacques D. ,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Brynhildsen O. , Flores D. (A),
  • 76', Vassilev I. , Bedoya A. ,
  • 78', Monlouis Z. , Long K. ,
  • 83', Sullivan Q. , Bender B. ,
  • 86', Brynhildsen O. , Sharp C. ,
  • 86', Coello A. , Longstaff M. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Harriel N. , Wagner K. (A),
  • 89', Baribo T. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Wagner K. ,
  • 90+7', Bedoya A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
25.2%
Draw
26.8%
Philadelphia Union
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 27% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 26.7% 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC's form might have worsened.
  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philadelphia Union's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.78
    (2.86)
    3.57
    (3.53)
    2.01
    (2.4)
    4.2%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union?
  • Users Predictions: Philadelphia Union will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Philadelphia Union will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
    • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Philadelphia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • Philadelphia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Bernardeschi F. (Yellow Cards) Franklin K. (Ankle Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Laryea R. (Hamstring Injury) Thompson K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Pierre N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Petretta R. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Blake A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:31. (average 1.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:11. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    13.07.2024 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 2:1
    29.05.2024 Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC 0:0
    30.08.2023 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 3:1
    22.04.2023 Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC 4:2
    09.10.2022 Philadelphia Union - Toronto FC 4:0
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22133646:301642
    2Minnesota United22117439:251440
    3Vancouver Whitecaps21115535:251038
    4Seattle Sounders2196631:28333
    5Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    6Los Angeles FC1995535:241132
    7Colorado Rapids23851027:33-629
    8San Jose Earthquakes2277842:37528
    9Austin FC2176815:23-827
    10Houston Dynamo22751029:35-626
    11Real Salt Lake21741023:28-525
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas21561027:39-1221
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy22361324:43-1915


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union22134537:211643
    2FC Cincinnati22133635:31442
    3Nashville SC22125538:251341
    4Columbus Crew22118338:29941
    5Inter Miami19115344:301438
    6Orlando City2298540:291135
    7New York City2194827:24331
    8New York Red Bulls2286833:27630
    9Charlotte22921136:36029
    10Chicago Fire2184940:38228
    11New England Revolution2167826:25125
    12Atlanta Utd21471023:38-1519
    13DC United22471118:41-2319
    14Toronto FC21461124:29-518
    15CF Montreal22361319:41-2215

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaRDS App, RDS Info, TSN 4
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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