Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (293/370) | 81% (326/402) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (293/370) | 81% (326/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (15/42) | 41% (17/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (85/125) | 67% (60/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
- 45+4', Osorio J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Ramirez Leon B. J. 🟨,
- 62', Miazga M. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 62', Barlow T. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
- 69', Denkey K. 🟨,
- 70', Fraser R. 🟨,
- 71', Denkey K. 🟨,
- 82', Cifuentes J. ↓, Aristizabal E. ↑,
- 82', Etienne D. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
- 82', Matheus Pereira ↓, Franklin K. ↑,
- 82', Monlouis Z. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 0, Flores G. (Own goal),
- 88', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Mboma K. ↑,
- 88', Bucha P. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Mboma K. ⚽, Jabbari A. (A),
- 90+4', Echenique E. ↓, Nwobodo O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toronto FC
41.1% | Draw
26.2% | Cincinnati
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Toronto FC - Cincinnati Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.14) |
3.61 ↑
(3.48) |
2.92 ↓
(3.08) |
5.2%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Cincinnati?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
- Toronto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cincinnati has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Toronto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Toronto: Corbeanu T.
(Knee Injury)
Edwards R.
(Red Card)
Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Mihailovic D.
(Pelvis Injury)
Wingo H.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Chirila S.
(Leg Injury)
Fletcher K.
(Knee Injury)
Powell A.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Cincinnati: Celentano R.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.6:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Cincinnati?
Toronto FC has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Toronto FC?
Cincinnati has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Cincinnati were as follows:
08.03.2026
Cincinnati
-
Toronto FC
0:1
14.05.2025
Toronto FC
-
Cincinnati
0:1
08.03.2025
Cincinnati
-
Toronto FC
2:0
25.05.2024
Toronto FC
-
Cincinnati
3:4
25.02.2024
Cincinnati
-
Toronto FC
0:0
Latest results of Toronto FC
Latest results of Cincinnati
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 24 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | New York City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
