Result
07/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Rionegro Águilas 23.2% | Draw 28.7% | Atlético Nacional 48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)The ML Model estimate for Rionegro Águilas aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.02 ↑ (3.96) |
3.23 ↓ (3.27) |
1.93 ↓ (1.95) |
7.7% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Rionegro Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Atlético Nacional?
Rionegro Águilas has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Rionegro Águilas?
Atlético Nacional has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
08.11.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Rionegro Águilas
2:1
18.05.2025
Rionegro Águilas
-
Atlético Nacional
2:1
05.08.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Rionegro Águilas
0:0
04.02.2024
Rionegro Águilas
-
Atlético Nacional
0:3
04.10.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Rionegro Águilas
2:1
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 | Fortaleza | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3:17 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )