Millonarios vs Atlético Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/03/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Campín (Bogotá).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Russia	Viju+ Sport
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.12	1.10
Ball possession
49%	51%
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
7	1
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
6	3
Passes
83% (236/284)	80% (247/308)
Yellow cards
2	6
Red cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.12	1.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.40	0.03
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
7	1
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked shots
5	3
Shots inside the box
10	2
Shots outside the box
10	6
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
2	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
23	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
7	15
Passes
83% (236/284)	80% (247/308)
Long passes
59% (26/44)	13% (5/38)
Passes in final third
74% (86/117)	68% (53/78)
Crosses
36% (9/25)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	0.24
Throw ins
9	11
Fouls
15	7
Tackles
60% (6/10)	44% (4/9)
Duels won
26	36
Clearances
15	21
Interceptions
3	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.03	0.40
Goals prevented
0.03	-2.60

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Urena R. 🟨,
11', Tesillo W. 🟨,
11', Roman A. 🟨,
14', Morelos A. (Penalty Awarded),
15', 1 - 0, Contreras R. ⚽, Viveros S. (A),
26', Mosquera S. ↓, Elizalde E. ↑,
33', Tesillo W. 🟨,
37', Rodriguez N. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
45+1', Casco M. 🟨,
45+1', Rengifo J. 🟨,
45+8', Garcia M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sarmiento A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
49', Campuzano J. 🟥,
55', Morelos A. ↓, Bauza J. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Garcia M. ⚽, Valencia S. (A),
64', Rengifo J. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
65', Viveros S. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
80', Valencia S. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
80', Sarabia C. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
80', Garcia M. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Castro L. ⚽, Quintero D. (A),
89', Haydar C. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/meznm8rx

Chances of winning

Millonarios
36.2%

Draw
30.6%

Atlético Nacional
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

28.3%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Millonarios - Atlético Nacional Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.48)	3.06 ↓ (3.25)	2.81 ↑ (2.78)	7.2% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Millonarios - Atlético Nacional?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Atlético Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 0.9:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.8:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Atlético Nacional?

Millonarios has won 8 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Millonarios?

Atlético Nacional has won 4 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Atlético Nacional were as follows:

04.03.2026 Atlético Nacional - Millonarios 1:3

27.09.2025 Atlético Nacional - Millonarios 2:0

16.06.2025 Atlético Nacional - Millonarios 0:1

05.06.2025 Millonarios - Atlético Nacional 0:0

13.04.2025 Millonarios - Atlético Nacional 0:0

Latest results of Millonarios

14.03.2026 Boyacá Chicó - Millonarios 2:1 ✺

09.03.2026 Millonarios - Cúcuta Deportivo 2:0 ✺

04.03.2026 Atlético Nacional - Millonarios 1:3 ✺

26.02.2026 Millonarios - Deportivo Pereira 5:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Inter Bogotá - Millonarios 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Nacional

13.03.2026 Atlético Nacional - Llaneros SA 2:0 ✺

10.03.2026 Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional 0:4 ✺

07.03.2026 Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional 1:2 ✺

04.03.2026 Atlético Nacional - Millonarios 1:3 ✺

01.03.2026 Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional 1:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional ✔	16	12	1	3	33:13	20	37
2	Dep. Pasto	16	9	4	3	22:17	5	31
3	Junior	16	9	1	6	24:20	4	28
4	Deportes Tolima	16	7	6	3	24:14	10	27
5	Once Caldas	16	6	8	2	26:19	7	26
6	Inter Bogotu00e1	16	6	7	3	20:21	-1	25
7	America De Cali	15	7	3	5	19:12	7	24
8	Dep. Cali	16	6	5	5	18:14	4	23
9	Bucaramanga	16	5	7	4	23:14	9	22
10	Millonarios	16	6	4	6	26:18	8	22
11	Aguilas	16	6	4	6	16:20	-4	22
12	Llaneros	16	4	9	3	17:15	2	21
13	Santa Fe	16	4	8	4	19:20	-1	20
14	Ind. Medellin	15	4	5	6	21:22	-1	17
15	Fortaleza	15	3	7	5	17:23	-6	16
16	Cucuta	16	3	6	7	21:27	-6	15
17	Alianza	16	3	6	7	11:24	-13	15
18	Jaguares de Cordoba	16	4	2	10	14:28	-14	14
19	Chico	15	3	2	10	11:26	-15	11
20	Pereira	16	0	7	9	14:29	-15	7

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )