Guingamp vs Annecy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
05/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 16
  • Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.872.02
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
105
Passes
84% (472/565)73% (233/318)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.872.02
xG on target (xGOT)
0.222.56
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
1820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
154
Passes
84% (472/565)73% (233/318)
Long passes
54% (45/84)32% (12/38)
Passes in final third
61% (62/101)63% (60/96)
Crosses
33% (8/24)50% (8/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.66
Throw-ins
3520
Fouls
415
Tackles
67% (14/21)71% (20/28)
Duels won
6749
Clearances
2138
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.560.22
Goals prevented
-0.440.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Larose A. , Billemaz C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 59', Venot P. 🟨,
  • 59', Ahile T. , Sidibe K. ,
  • 59', Abdallah A. , Mbemba F. ,
  • 61', 0 - 2, Larose A. , Tiendrebeogo J. (A),
  • 64', 0 - 3, Toure B. ,
  • 65', Kielt S. , Hatchi J. ,
  • 69', Tiendrebeogo J. , Hbouch A. ,
  • 69', Venot P. , Casadei A. ,
  • 76', Louiserre D. , N'Landu D. ,
  • 76', Nair S. , Demouchy A. ,
  • 77', Larose A. , Paris Q. ,
  • 82', Rowe T. 🟨,
  • 85', Toure B. , N'Sakala F. ,

Chances of winning


Guingamp
43.2%
Draw
28.9%
Annecy
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 28% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 26.7% 20.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guingamp's form might have worsened.
  • Annecy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Annecy's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guingamp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Annecy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guingamp - Annecy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (1.81)
    3.23
    (3.25)
    3.39
    (4.18)
    6.7%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Guingamp - Annecy?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 2 - 50%). Annecy (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Annecy (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Annecy (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Guingamp will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Annecy (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
    • Guingamp has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Annecy has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Guingamp is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Hemia A. (Knee Injury) N'Landu D. (Inactive) Ortola A. (Elbow Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Sidibe K. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Annecy: Delphis T. (Inactive) Escales F. (Inactive) Jusseron-Veniere K. (Ankle Injury) Koutoune H. (Inactive) N'Sakala F. (Inactive) Pajot V. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.6:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Annecy were as follows:
    10.01.2025 Annecy - Guingamp 1:4
    20.09.2024 Guingamp - Annecy 2:2
    03.02.2024 Guingamp - Annecy 1:4
    18.03.2023 Annecy - Guingamp 1:1
    08.10.2022 Guingamp - Annecy 0:4
    Latest results of Guingamp
    22.11.2025 Amiens - Guingamp 1:2
    08.11.2025 Guingamp - Pau 2:2
    31.10.2025 Guingamp - Laval 2:0
    Latest results of Annecy
    28.11.2025 Annecy - Grenoble 1:2
    21.11.2025 Annecy - Bastia 1:0
    14.11.2025 Cannes - Annecy 1:2
    07.11.2025 Montpellier - Annecy 1:0
    31.10.2025 Annecy - Boulogne 1:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes25146540:251548
    2St Etienne25144744:291546
    3Reims25119537:231442
    4Le Mans251011430:24641
    5Red Star25118630:25541
    6Annecy25116834:25939
    7Dunkerque25108741:271438
    8Rodez25910631:31037
    9Montpellier251051028:25335
    10Guingamp2598835:36-135
    11Pau FC2597937:42-534
    12Grenoble25611824:29-529
    13Clermont25771129:33-428
    14Nancy25761222:33-1127
    15Boulogne25761225:36-1127
    16Amiens25651428:41-1323
    17Laval253101219:35-1619
    18Bastia25391312:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National