Annecy vs Guingamp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 29
  • Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.140.97
Ball possession
31%69%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
62
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
47
Passes
70% (196/279)86% (515/600)
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
2.140.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.380.27
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
47
Blocked shots
14
Shots inside the box
811
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1324
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free kicks
186
Passes
70% (196/279)86% (515/600)
Long passes
29% (16/56)65% (61/94)
Passes in final third
46% (31/67)76% (127/168)
Crosses
13% (1/8)31% (11/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.93
Throw ins
1218
Fouls
618
Tackles
67% (12/18)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5242
Clearances
3611
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
0.271.38
Goals prevented
0.270.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Patterson T. 🟨,
  • 30', Patterson T. 🟨,
  • 34', Rambaud T. , Kouadio J. ,
  • 45+2', Demouchy A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Sagna A. , Samoura A. ,
  • 55', Demouchy A. , Nair S. ,
  • 56', Louiserre D. 🟨,
  • 61', Jacob V. , Casadei A. ,
  • 62', Dion M. S. , Gomes A. ,
  • 63', 1 - 0, Casadei A. ,
  • 68', Demoncy Y. , Mbemba F. ,
  • 68', Louiserre D. , Sidibe K. ,
  • 68', Matumona J. , Sissoko A. ,
  • 78', Venot P. , Delphis T. ,

Chances of winning


Annecy
32.4%
Draw
29.2%
Guingamp
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 28.8% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 28.5% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Annecy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Annecy - Guingamp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (2.65)
    3.19
    (3.24)
    2.44
    (2.6)
    6.9%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Annecy - Guingamp?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Annecy will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Guingamp will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9%76.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Annecy won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Annecy: Koutoune H. (Inactive) Larose A. (Yellow Cards) Makutungu C. (Inactive) Pajot V. (Concussion) Toure B. (Knee Injury) Veillon M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Demoncy Y. (Inactive) Hemia A. (Knee Injury) N'Landu D. (Knee Injury) Ott G. (Knee Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Annecy won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Annecy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Annecy - Guingamp were as follows:
    05.12.2025 Guingamp - Annecy 0:3
    10.01.2025 Annecy - Guingamp 1:4
    20.09.2024 Guingamp - Annecy 2:2
    03.02.2024 Guingamp - Annecy 1:4
    18.03.2023 Annecy - Guingamp 1:1
    Latest results of Annecy
    21.03.2026 Saint-Étienne - Annecy 4:0
    16.03.2026 Annecy - Troyes 1:2
    07.03.2026 Le Mans - Annecy 3:0
    27.02.2026 Bastia - Annecy 0:2
    20.02.2026 Annecy - Red Star 2:1
    Latest results of Guingamp
    21.03.2026 Guingamp - Reims 0:2
    13.03.2026 Guingamp - Amiens 1:0
    06.03.2026 Laval - Guingamp 2:2
    28.02.2026 Guingamp - Rodez 0:0
    23.02.2026 Le Mans - Guingamp 1:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes ✔ 33207660:322867
    2Le Mans331514448:311759
    3St Etienne331761054:381657
    4Red Star33169844:36857
    5Rodez331413643:38555
    6Reims331314648:321653
    7Annecy331571148:371152
    8Montpellier331481140:301050
    9Pau FC331291245:57-1245
    10Dunkerque3311101251:42943
    11Guingamp3310101342:48-640
    12Grenoble337151132:39-736
    13Boulogne33991533:47-1436
    14Clermont338101537:44-734
    15Nancy338101532:50-1834
    16Laval335141428:47-1929
    17Bastia335131523:37-1428
    18Amiens ✔ 33662137:60-2324

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
    Amiens is Relegated to National