Result
1:1
09/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Abreu D. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rodriguez N. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
- 46', Oliva C. ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
- 46', Abreu D. ↓, Cambon A. ↑,
- 62', Cambon A. 🟨,
- 67', Pacifico P. ↓, de los Santos L. ↑,
- 69', Ancheta E. ↓, Carneiro G. ↑,
- 76', De Los Santos J. ↓, Mereles E. ↑,
- 78', Wunsch N. 🟨,
- 78', Millan J. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 1, Lopez N. ⚽,
- 82', Lopez N. ↓, de los Santos M. ↑,
- 86', Gomez M. 🟨,
- 87', Cambon A. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,
- 87', Machado A. ↓, Torterolo A. ↑,
- 90', Amaro M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Wunsch N. ↓, Biscayzacu X. ↑,
- 90+2', Carneiro G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Defensor Sporting
20.6% | Draw
26.5% | Nacional Montevideo
52.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.51 ↓
(4.83) |
3.55 ↑
(3.46) |
1.77 ↑
(1.7) |
6.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 1.
- Defensor Sporting has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nacional is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Defensor Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nacional is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:38. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Nacional Montevideo?
Defensor Sporting has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Defensor Sporting?
Nacional Montevideo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
18.05.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
2:1
06.12.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
2:3
21.09.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
1:1
10.03.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Nacional Montevideo
3:3
04.12.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
1:0
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maldonado | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Central Esp | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Penarol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Nacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Danubio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Albion | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Boston River | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Juventud | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Progreso | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
